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Figure 2. Changes in health care spending according to service type with expanded primary care, 2004.

Source: Lewin Group estimates.13

PMPM = per member per month. Notes: Estimates of health spending are for privately insured persons excluding dental coverage. Distribution estimated by the Lewin Group using the Medical Expenditures Panel Survey data (MEPS). Changes in health spending assume an increase in primary care physician utilization in proportion to the number of persons using a primary care provider as their primary source of care. Assumes a corresponding reduction in specialist utilization at the higher levels of reimbursement received by specialists. Assumes reduction in hospital and other care corresponding to the estimated savings in health care of $67 billion.





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