Table 2.

Comparison of Predicted Mortality Between Original Derivation Cohort and Quebec Validation Cohort

Risk GroupaOriginal Derivation CohortbQuebec Validation CohortcP Valued
Patients, %Mortality Rate, % (95% CI)SSLRPatients, %Mortality Rate, % (95% CI)SSLR
COVID-NoLab
   Low221.3 (0.4-3.4)0.10161.1 (0.02-5.7)0.10.83
   Moderate6711.3 (9.4-13.4)0.93649.6 (6.8-13.0)0.91.36
   High1130.5 (24.4-37.0)3.202021.2 (14.2-30.0)2.00.07
COVID-SimpleLab
   Low310.4 (0.01-2.4)0.03260.0 (0.0-2.8)0.00.46
   Moderate318.3 (5.0-12.6)0.60349.8 (5.7-15.5)0.87.59
   High3830.6 (25.3-36.4)2.204020.0 (14.6-26.4)1.80.01
  • SSLR = stratum-specific likelihood ratio.

  • a See Table 1 for cutoffs for the risk groups.

  • b Cohort had 1,527 patients for the COVID-NoLab risk score and 740 patients for the COVID-SimpleLab risk score.

  • c Cohort had 588 patients for the COVID-NoLab risk score and 479 patients for the COVID-SimpleLab risk score.

  • d From the Pearson χ2 test for the comparison of mortality rates between cohorts.