Table 3.

Estimates of the Association Between PrEP Uptake and Incidence of Bacterial STIs

ModelBacterial STI, IRR (95% CI)
AnyChlamydiaGonorrheaaSyphilis
Unadjusted3.32 (1.77-6.56)2.77 (1.32-5.82)7.05 (3.29-15.1)1.33 (0.39-4.58)
Adjustedb2.14 (1.05-4.37)1.78 (0.76-4.21)4.75 (1.97-11.4)0.63 (0.12-3.18)
Marginal structuralc1.86 (0.86-4.04)1.22 (0.53-2.81)4.00 (1.67-9.58)1.05 (0.28-3.92)
  • IRR = incidence rate ratio; PrEP = pre-exposure prophylaxis; STI = sexually transmitted infection.

  • Note: Estimates are weighted for the inverse probability of treatment. IRRs compare participants with vs without PrEP uptake.

  • a The E-value was 7.46. (This value is specific to the marginal structural model for gonorrhea; it is not for the unadjusted or adjusted model.) The lower confidence limit was 2.73.

  • b Controlled for age, employment, income, access to primary care clinician, alcohol and drug use before sex, and lifetime bacterial STI diagnosis.

  • c Incorporated inverse probability of exposure and attrition weights.