Table 2.

Area Under ROC Curve Using a Diabetes Risk Score, Family History of Diabetes, and BMI to Predict Development of Diabetes Within 10 Years

PredictorsArea Under ROC Curve
ARIC = Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; BMI = body mass index; ROC = receiver operating characteristic.
* Area under the curve significantly different from that of diabetes risk score.
† Not significantly different.
ARIC diabetes risk score.70
Family history of diabetes
    Parents.57*
    Siblings and parents.58*
BMI
    Continuous.65
    3 categories.67
    3 categories plus family history of diabetes (siblings and parents).69