Top 20 Variables in Final Model in Order of Importance in Predicting a Depressive Episode at 1-Year Follow-up
| Rank | Wave-I Covariates (Range) | In Training Sample (n=2,623) Mean (SD) | In Test Sample (n=1,750) Mean (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | “Over the past week: You were bothered by things that usually don’t bother you.” | 0.44 (0.64) | 0.44 (0.63) |
| 2 | Age (11–20 y) | 15.6 (1.55) | 15.6 (1.56) |
| 3 | “Over the past week: You felt sad.” | 0.52 (0.63) | 0.51 (0.63) |
| 4 | “Over the past week: You felt that you could not shake off the blues, even with help from your family and your friends.” | 0.33 (0.64) | 0.32 (0.62) |
| 5 | “Over the past week: You felt depressed.” | 0.44 (0.64) | 0.46 (0.68) |
| 6 | “Over the past week: You felt fearful.” | 0.29 (0.53) | 0.30 (0.54) |
| 7 | “Over the past week: You felt that you were too tired to do things.” | 0.70 (0.71) | 0.69 (0.71) |
| 8 | Higher value of: “How close do you feel to your [residential father]/[residential mother]?” | 4.66 (0.66) | 4.63 (0.70) |
| 9 | “Over the past week: You felt hopeful about the future.” | 1.14 (0.98) | 1.16 (0.98) |
| 10 | “Over the past week: You didn’t feel like eating, your appetite was poor.” | 0.42 (0.66) | 0.44 (0.66) |
| 11 | “Over the past week: It was hard to get started doing things.” | 0.57 (0.65) | 0.59 (0.64) |
| 12 | Body mass index (13.2–50.7) Constructed from height and weight | 22.2 (4.25) | 22.4 (4.50) |
| 13 | “Over the past week: You had trouble keeping your mind on what you were doing.” | 0.78 (0.78) | 0.77 (0.78) |
| 14 | “Please tell me how often you have had each of the following conditions in the past 12 months: moodiness” | 1.29 (0.98) | 1.30 (1.00) |
| 15 | “Over the past week: People were unfriendly to you.” | 0.38 (0.61) | 0.39 (0.61) |
| 16 | “Over the past week: You enjoyed life.” | 2.28 (0.83) | 2.29 (0.84) |
| 17 | “Over the past week: You talked less than usual.” | 0.53 (0.72) | 0.54 (0.71) |
| 18 | “Over the past week: You thought your life had been a failure.” | 0.15 (0.44) | 0.18 (0.48) |
| 19 | “Compared with other people your age, how intelligent are you?” | 3.88 (1.08) | 3.91 (1.09) |
| 20 | “I feel socially accepted.” | 1.89 (0.75) | 1.89 (0.73) |