Table 3

Segmented Regression Model Parameters Showing the Year-to-Year Trend in Cancer Screening Rates Before and After Introduction of Ontario’s Preventive Care Incentives In 2006–2007

Type of Cancer ScreeningIntercept (β0) % (95% CI)Baseline Trend Before Incentives (β1) % (95% CI)Step Change After Introduction of Incentives (β2) % (95% CI)Trend Change After Introduction of Incentives (β3) % (95% CI)Trend After Introduction of Incentives ( β1+ β3) % (95% CI)
Cervical53.9 (52.5 to 55.3)0.26 (−0.054 to 0.57)1.5 (−0.80 to 3.8)−0.21 (−1.0 to 0.59)0.045 (−0.70 to 0.79)
Breast60.9 (59.7 to 62.0)−0.24 (−0.49 to 0.015)1.6 (−0.25 to 3.5)0.72 (0.080 to 1.4)0.49 (−0.10 to 1.1)
Colorectal17.2 (15.0 to 19.5)3.0 (2.3 to 3.7)0.95 (−2.2 to 4.1)1.7 (0.55 to 2.9)4.7 (3.7 to 5.7)
  • Note: The segmented linear regression models are Yt= β01*timet2*interventiont3*time after interventiont +et, where Yt stands for observed series and et represents an error term. These regression models allow for a linear trend before intervention, a step change after intervention, and a linear trend change after intervention.