Table 4

Annual Rate Ratios Estimating Trends Before and After 2004 Primary Care Policy Reforms in Admission Rates

Short-Stay Admission RatesaLong-Stay Admission Ratesb
Admission Type% Annual ChangeRate Ratioc (95% CI)% Annual ChangeRate Ratioc (95% CI)
Infectious illness
Trend pre 200451.05 (1.05–1.05)−40.96 (0.96–0.96)
Change 2003 to 200401.00 (1.00–1.00)−60.94 (0.94–0.95)
Trend post 200431.03 (1.03–1.03)−10.99 (0.99–0.99)
Chronic conditions
Trend pre 200431.03 (1.03–1.04)−40.96 (0.96–0.96)
Change 2003 to 2004111.11 (1.11–1.12)11.01 (1.01–1.02)
Trend post 200411.01 (1.01–1.01)−10.99 (0.98–0.99)
Injury
Trend pre 200411.01 (1.01–1.02)−20.98 (0.98–0.99)
Change 2003 to 200401.0 0 (0.99–1.01)−70.93 (0.91–0.95)
Trend post 200421.02 (1.01–1.03)−40.96 (0.95–0.97)
All cause
Trend pre 200441.04 (1.04–1.04)−40.96 (0.96–0.97)
Change 2003 to 200441.04 (1.03–1.04)−30.97 (0.97–0.97)
Trend post 200421.02 (1.02–1.02)−20.98 (0.98–0.98)
  • Notes: Interrupted time series regression models were individually constructed for short- and long-stay admissions in 3 diagnosis categories. Data are for 326 local authority areas over 12 years (2000–2001 through 2011–2012) among children aged younger than 15 years.

  • a Unplanned admissions with a length of stay of less than 2 days.

  • b Unplanned admissions with a length of stay of 2 days or more.

  • c Calculated from model parameter coefficients.