Table 4

Impact of Retirement Age and Population per Primary Care Physician Changes on Shortage Projections for 2035

VariableAdditional Residents Needed No. (% Change)Projected Physician Shortage by 2035 No. (% Change)
Baseline1,70033,283
Retirement age
 64 y2,427 (43)38,622 (16)
 68 y1,057 (−38)26,835 (−19)
Population per physician
 10% decrease3,064 (80)60,561 (82)
 10% increase336 (−80)6,004 (−82)