Table 2

Predictive Value of Sociodemographic Characteristics, SOC, Baseline Disability, Indicators of Mental Functioning, and Measures of Multimorbidity for Mortality, Hospitalization, and ADL Decline

CharacteristicMortality (n = 106)Hospitalization (n = 241)ADL Decline (n = 96)
Crude Hazard Ratio (95% CI)Adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% CI)Crude Hazard Ratio (95% CI)Adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% CI)Crude Odds Ratio (95% CI)Adjusted Odds Ratio (95% CI)
SOC (highest tertile)0.52 (0.33–0.81)a0.62 (0.38–1.0)a0.87 (0.66–1.1)0.90 (0.68–1.2)0.51 (0.30–0.89)a0.56 (0.31–1.0)b
Age1.1 (1.0–1.1)a1.0 (0.99–1.1)1.0 (1.0–1.1)a1.0 (0.99–1.1)1.1 (1.1–1.2)a1.1 (1.0–1.2)a
Men1.0 (0.68–1.5)1.3 (0.87–2.0)1.1 (0.89–1.5)1.3 (0.87–2.0)1.2 (0.72–1.9)1.2 (0.69–2.1)
Family situation1.2 (1.0–1.5)a1.2 (0.96–1.4)0.98 (0.87–1.1)1.2 (0.96 –1.4)0.95 (0.77–1.2)0.83 (0.64–1.1)
Level of education > primary school1.0 (0.69–1.5)1.4 (0.92–2.1)1.2 (0.92–1.6)1.4 (1.1–1.8)a1.0 (0.62–1.6)1.2 (0.73–2.1)
GDS-15 score >51.6 (1.0–2.4)a0.94 (0.59–1.5)1.3 (0.97–1.8)1.1 (0.78–1.5)1.0 (0.57–1.9)0.85 (0.43–1.7)
MMSE (categories)2.0 (1.5–2.6)c1.8 (1.3–2.3)c1.3 (1.1–1.6)a1.3 (1.1–1.6)a2.1 (1.4–3.1)a2.1 (1.3–3.4)
ADL disability (lowest sex-specific quartile)2.9 (2.0–4.3)c2.1 (1.4–3.3)a1.9 (1.4–2.6)c1.6 (1.2–2.3)a1.3 (0.7–2.3)0.97 (0.50–1.9)
DC (categories)d1.5 (1.2–1.9)c1.1 (1.0–1.2)a1.6 (1.4–1.9)c1.6 (1.4–1.9)c1.0 (0.77–1.4)0.98 (0.71–1.3)
  • ADL = activities of daily living; DC = disease count; GDS = Geriatric Depression Scale; MMSE = Mini-Mental State Examination; SOC = sense of coherence.

  • a P <.05.

  • b P = .05.

  • c P <.001.

  • d Disease count categories: Level 1: DC <3; level 2: DC 3–4; level 3: DC >5.