Table 3

Factors Associated With Observed Odds of Rural Primary Care Physicians Moving to Metropolitan Counties

FactorOdds Ratio (95% CI)
Aged ≤45 y (n=70,568)Aged 46–65 y (n=100,374)
Female1.24 (1.18 to 1.30)a1.46 (1.37 to 1.54)a
Family physician0.86 (0.82 to 0.90)a0.99 (0.94 to 1.04)
Osteopathic1.02 (0.94 to 1.10)1.25 (1.15 to 1.35)a
International medical graduate1.65 (1.53 to 1.77)a1.41 (1.31 to 1.53)a
Health Professional Shortage Area (HPSA)1.05 (0.99 to 1.11)1.06 (1.00 to 1.13)
Born in rural area0.57 (0.53 to 0.62)a0.64 (0.59 to 0.70)a
Primary care physician supply (PPR per 1,000 residents)0.77 (0.71 to 0.84)a0.74 (0.66 to 0.82)a
No hospital in county1.09 (0.97 to 1.23)1.02 (0.89 to 1.17)
RUCC category (reference: 8 or 9)
 4 or 50.92 (0.83 to 1.03)0.90 (0.80 to 1.01)
 6 or 70.93 (0.84 to 1.03)0.98 (0.87 to 1.09)
Adjacent to metropolitan1.10 (1.05 to 1.16)a1.28 (1.21 to 1.36)a
Median household income (per $10,000)1.08 (1.03 to 1.14)a1.07 (1.02 to 1.13)a
Median house price (per $100,000)0.94 (0.89 to 1.00)1.07 (1.01 to 1.13)b
Unemployment rate (%)1.012 (1.002 to 1.032)b1.012 (0.995 to 1.029)
Population aged ≥65 years (%)0.984 (0.977 to 0.991)a1.004 (0.996 to 1.013)
Population race/ethnicity (%)
 Non-Hispanic African American1.000 (0.997 to 1.002)1.005 (1.002 to 1.008)a
 Hispanic1.004 (1.001 to 1.007)b1.003 (1.000 to 1.006)
  • PPR = primary care physician–to-population ratio; RUCC = Rural-Urban Continuum Code.

  • a P <.01.

  • b P <.05.