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Research ArticleOriginal ResearchA

Risks and Benefits Associated With Antibiotic Use for Acute Respiratory Infections: A Cohort Study

Sharon B. Meropol, A. Russell Localio and Joshua P. Metlay
The Annals of Family Medicine March 2013, 11 (2) 165-172; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.1449
Sharon B. Meropol
1Department of Pediatrics, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, Ohio
2Department of Epidemiology and Biostastics, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, Ohio
3Penn Center for Education and Research on Therapeutics, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
MDPhD
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  • For correspondence: sharon.meropol@case.edu
A. Russell Localio
3Penn Center for Education and Research on Therapeutics, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
4Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
5Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
PhD
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Joshua P. Metlay
3Penn Center for Education and Research on Therapeutics, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
4Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
5Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
6Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Article Figures & Data

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  • Figure 1
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    Figure 1

    Area plot of frequency of antibiotic prescribing for acute nonspecific respiratory infections for each of 326 practices, by practice.

Tables

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    • View popup
    Table 1

    Antibiotics Prescribed

    Generic NameNo. of Visits
    Penicillins685,265
    Macrolides126,934
    Cephalosporins, cephamycins, and other β-lactams71,646
    Tetracyclines70,554
    Sulphonamides and trimethoprim34,629
    Quinolones12,203
    Othera819
    Total visits with antibiotics1,002,050
    • ↵a Metronidazole, methenamine, nitrofuratoin, fosfomycin, amoxicillin/clarithromycin/lansoprazole, clindamycin, colistin, chloramphenicol, and fusidic acid.

    • View popup
    Table 2

    Characteristics of Patients With Antibiotic-Exposed vs Antibiotic-Unexposed Visits for Acute Respiratory Infections

    CharacteristicVisits With AntibioticsVisits Without Antibiotics
    Total visits (N = 1,531,019), No. (%)1,002,050 (65.4)528,969 (34.6)
    Male, No. (%)385,712 (38.5)184,720 (35)
    Age, median (mean) y46 (47.91)40 (43.98)
    Comorbidities
      Any comorbidity, No. (%)350,078 (34.94)161,607 (30.55)
      Number of comorbidities, mean0.480.41
      Number of different classes of drugs used in previous year, mean5.984.25
      Number of visits made in previous year, mean8.948.87
    • View popup
    Table 3

    Severe Adverse Events (N = 1,531,019 Visits)

    With Antibiotics 1,002,050 Visits Without Antibiotics 528,969 Visits
    Time After Index VisitNo. ofEventEvents RateaNo. of EventEvents RateaRisk DifferenceaP Value
    15 days858.48417.750 .73.63
    30 days14814.778015.12−0.35.86

    Note: The following events occurred at 15 days: hypersensitivity 44, diarrhea 18, liver toxicity 13, renal toxicity 21, arrhythmia 6, seizure 23; at 30 days, hypersensitivity 79, diarrhea 25, liver toxicity 28, renal toxicity 39, arrhythmia 11, seizure 46.

    • ↵a Per 100,000 visits.

    • View popup
    Table 4

    Severe Adverse Events Per 100,000 Visits by Antibiotic Class

    Risk Difference for Antibiotic Use
    Grouped VisitsPoint Estimate95% CIP Value
    All antibiotic use vs none−1.07−4.52 to 2.38.54
    Specific antibiotic class vs none
      β-Lactams−1.62−5.19 to 1.96.37
      Macrolides2.40−3.26 to 8.07.40
      Flouroquinolones1.06−17.02 to 19.14.91

Additional Files

  • Figures
  • Tables
  • Supplemental Appendix & Tables

    Supplemental Appendix. Additional Analyses; Table A1. Acute Respiratory Infection Diagnostic Codes; Table A2. Adverse Event Diagnostic Codes; Table A3. Community-Acquired Pneumonia Diagnostic Codes; Table A4. Severe Adverse Events Per 100,000 Visits by Propensity Score Quintile; Table A5. Severe Adverse Events Per 100,00 Visits: Specific vs Other Antibiotic Class

    Files in this Data Supplement:

    • Supplemental data: Appendix & Tables A1-A5 - PDF file, 11 pages, 254 KB
  • The Article in Brief

    Risks and Benefits Associated With Antibiotic Use for Acute Respiratory Infections: A Cohort Study

    Sharon B. Meropol , and colleagues

    Background Antibiotics are frequently prescribed for acute respiratory infections (ARIs), although research has failed to demonstrate a clear benefit from antibiotics for these conditions. This study uses outpatient ARI visits to estimate the risks of serious adverse drug events and community-acquired pneumonia among patients who have and have not received antibiotics.

    What This Study Found In this study, there is a small reduction in subsequent hospitalization for pneumonia and no increase in severe adverse drug reactions for patients prescribed antibiotics. Analyzing data on more than 1.5 million patient visits, researchers found antibiotics were prescribed in 65 percent of cases. The adjusted risk difference for treated vs untreated patients per 100,000 visits was 1.07 fewer adverse events and 8.16 fewer pneumonia hospitalizations within 15 days following the visit. The number needed to treat was 12,255 patients to prevent 1 hospitalization.

    Implications

    • The authors conclude this small benefit from antibiotics for a common diagnosis creates a persistent tension; at the societal level, physicians are compelled to reduce antibiotic prescribing, thus minimizing future resistance, whereas at the visit level, they are compelled to optimize the benefit-risk balance for that patient.
  • Annals Journal Club

    Mar/Apr 2013: The Big Picture on Antibiotics for Respiratory Infections


    The Annals of Family Medicine encourages readers to develop a learning community of those seeking to improve health care and health through enhanced primary care. You can participate by conducting a RADICAL journal club and sharing the results of your discussions in the Annals online discussion for the featured articles. RADICAL is an acronym for Read, Ask, Discuss, Inquire, Collaborate, Act, and Learn. The word radical also indicates the need to engage diverse participants in thinking critically about important issues affecting primary care and then acting on those discussions.1

    HOW IT WORKS

    In each issue, the Annals selects an article or articles and provides discussion tips and questions. We encourage you to take a RADICAL approach to these materials and to post a summary of your conversation in our online discussion. (Open the article online and click on "TRACK Comments: Submit a response.") You can find discussion questions and more information online at: http://www.AnnFamMed.org/site/AJC/.

    CURRENT SELECTION

    Article for Discussion

    • Meropol SB, Localio AR, Metlay JP. Risks and benefits associated with antibiotic use for acute respiratory infections: a cohort study. Ann Fam Med. 2013;11(2):165-172.

    Discussion Tips

    This large cohort study provides an opportunity to wear both our personal clinician and public health hats in balancing the risks of antibiotic resistance and side effects against the benefit of antibiotics for selected people with respiratory tract infections. The introduction and discussion of this article do a nice job of laying out the relevant issues.

    Discussion Questions

    • What are the study's research questions and hypotheses, and why do they matter?
    • How does this study advance beyond previous research and clinical practice on this topic?
    • How strong is the study design for answering the question?
    • To what degree can the findings be accounted for by:
      1. How patients were selected, excluded, or lost to follow-up?
      2. How the main variables were measured?
      3. Confounding (false attribution of causality because 2 variables discovered to be associated actually are associated with a 3rd factor)?
      4. Chance?
      5. How the findings were interpreted?
    • How were possible biases controlled for in analyses? How do the sensitivity analyses affect your confidence in the findings?
    • What are the main study findings? What (if anything) surprised you?
    • How comparable is the study sample to similar patients in your practice? What is your judgment about the transportability of the findings?
    • In applying the findings to patient care, how do you weigh the different risks and benefits examined in this study? How about the societal and individual risks of antibiotic resistance (that were not examined by this study)?
    • How might this study change your practice? Policy? Education? Research?
    • Who are the constituencies for the findings, and how might they be engaged in interpreting or using the findings?
    • What are the next steps in interpreting or applying the findings?
    • What researchable questions remain?

    References

    1. Stange KC, Miller WL, McLellan LA, et al. Annals Journal Club: It's time to get RADICAL. Ann Fam Med. 2006;4(3):196-197.

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Risks and Benefits Associated With Antibiotic Use for Acute Respiratory Infections: A Cohort Study
Sharon B. Meropol, A. Russell Localio, Joshua P. Metlay
The Annals of Family Medicine Mar 2013, 11 (2) 165-172; DOI: 10.1370/afm.1449

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Risks and Benefits Associated With Antibiotic Use for Acute Respiratory Infections: A Cohort Study
Sharon B. Meropol, A. Russell Localio, Joshua P. Metlay
The Annals of Family Medicine Mar 2013, 11 (2) 165-172; DOI: 10.1370/afm.1449
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