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Research ArticleOriginal Research

Regional Variation in Primary Care Involvement at the End of Life

Claire K. Ankuda, Stephen M. Petterson, Peter Wingrove and Andrew W. Bazemore
The Annals of Family Medicine January 2017, 15 (1) 63-67; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.2002
Claire K. Ankuda
1Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholars Program, Family Medicine, University of Michigan Health System, Ann Arbor, Michigan
MD, MPH
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  • For correspondence: cankuda@umich.edu
Stephen M. Petterson
2Robert Graham Center, Washington, DC
PhD
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Peter Wingrove
2Robert Graham Center, Washington, DC
BS
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Andrew W. Bazemore
2Robert Graham Center, Washington, DC
MD, MPH
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    Table 1

    Characteristics of Hospital Referral Regions by Quartile of Mean Ratio of Primary Care to Specialist Visits in the Last 6 Months of Life

    Quartile of PCP Involvement
    MeasureFirst (Lowest) (n = 76)Second (n = 77)Third (n = 77)Fourth (Highest) (n = 76)P Value
    Outcomes
     Deaths of chronically ill beneficiaries, No.a376,118303,772242,084185,728–
     Ratio of PCP:specialist visits in the last 6 mo of life (range)0.66 (0.38–0.77)0.88 (0.78–0.98)1.08 (0.98–1.21)1.42 (1.21–2.55)–
    Patient characteristics
     Mean age, y72.1171.3170.9771.08<.001
     Female, %56.055.555.254.3<.001
     African American, %11.410.27.93.6<.001
     HCC score, mean1.040.990.970.92<.001
    Population characteristics
     Below FPL, %13.916.115.915.5.005
     Urban, %92.879.168.355.1<.001
     Obese, %25.227.527.327.4<.001
     History of stroke, %4.53.93.83.3<.001
    Health care supply characteristics
     Medical doctors per 100,000, No.203.23187.50188.70192.90.10
     PCPs per 100,000, No.51.1049.5756.4263.18<.001
     Specialists per 100,000, No.130.23118.59116.60114.96<.001
     Hospital beds per 1,000, No.50.7443.2341.0537.67<.001
     ICU beds per 1,000, No.21.4915.9512.2410.24<.001
    • FPL = federal poverty limit; HCC = hierarchical condition category; HRR = hospital referral region; ICU = intensive care unit; PCP = primary care physician.

    • Note: There were 306 HRRs, capturing 1,107,702 total decedents in 2010.

    • ↵a Chronically ill Medicare beneficiaries, deceased in 2010.

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    Table 2

    End-of-Life Care in HRRs by Quartile of Primary Care Involvement in the Last 6 Months of Life

    Quartile of HRRs by Ratio of Primary Care to Specialist Visits in the Last 6 Months of Life
    MeasureFirst (Least PCP Involvement) (n = 76)Second (n = 76)Third (n = 76)Fourth (Most PCP Involvement) (n = 77)P Valuea
    Deaths occurring in hospitals, % (95% CI)24.5 (23.8–25.1)24.0 (23.5–24.5)24.0 (23.5–24.5)24.0 (23.4–24.6).55
    Decedents enrolled in hospice, % (95% CI)50.4 (49.1–51.7)48.1 (47.2–49.1)47.9 (46.9–48.9)44.5 (43.3–45.7).004
    Patients seeing ≥10 physicians in their last 6 mo of life, % (95% CI)42.4 (41.6–43.1)37.8 (37.2–38.4)36.9 (36.3–37.6)37.0 (36.3–37.8)<.001
    Patients receiving ICU care during their final hospital admission, % (95% CI)17.5 (17.0–17.9)15.9 (15.5–16.2)15.2 (14.9–15.6)14.5 (14.1–14.9)<.001
    Hospital days in the last 6 mo of life, No. (95% CI)9.76 (9.57–9.96)9.10 (8.95–9.25)9.00 (8.84–9.15)9.15 (8.97–9.33).10
    ICU days in the last 6 mo of life, No. (95% CI)4.29 (4.13–4.44)3.63 (3.51–3.75)3.07 (2.95–3.20)2.90 (2.76–3.05)<.001
    Total Medicare spending per decedent in last 2 y of life, US$1,000b69.03 (68.08–69.98)66.70 (65.96–67.44)64.07 (63.32–64.83)65.16 (64.27–66.05).003
    • HRR = hospital referral region; ICU = intensive care unit; PCP = primary care physician.

    • Note: Adjusted for the HRR percentage of population below the federal poverty limit, percentage of Medicare beneficiaries reporting they were African American, percentage of beneficiaries who were female, average age of Medicare beneficiaries, average hierarchical condition category score of Medicare beneficiaries, percentage of HRR that is urban, obesity rate, stroke rate, and regional density of specialist physicians.

    • ↵a Testing the ratio of primary care to specialist visits as a continuous variable as opposed to quartiles of the ratio.

    • ↵b In 2010 dollars.

Additional Files

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  • The Article in Brief

    Regional Variation in Primary Care Involvement at the End of Life

    Andrew W. Bazemore , and colleagues

    Background Primary care improves patient care through coordination of care and services, continuity of relationships, and comprehensiveness of practice, but more information is needed about primary care physician (PCP) participation in end of life care. This study examines regional variation in PCP involvement in the end of life and the association of such involvement with end of life outcomes.

    What This Study Found Regions of the country with greater primary care physician involvement in the last 6 months of life have lower-intensity, lower-cost end-of-life care. Chronically ill adults in regions with greater primary care physician involvement have less care in the intensive care unit in their last 6 months of life and are less likely to have more than 10 physicians in their care. These regions also have less costly end-of-life care, despite lower rates of hospice use.

    Implications

    • These findings can help us better understand and optimize the role of primary care physicians in care at the end of life in order to both improve the care of the dying and reduce unnecessary and costly intensive care.
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The Annals of Family Medicine: 15 (1)
The Annals of Family Medicine: 15 (1)
Vol. 15, Issue 1
January/February 2017
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Regional Variation in Primary Care Involvement at the End of Life
Claire K. Ankuda, Stephen M. Petterson, Peter Wingrove, Andrew W. Bazemore
The Annals of Family Medicine Jan 2017, 15 (1) 63-67; DOI: 10.1370/afm.2002

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Regional Variation in Primary Care Involvement at the End of Life
Claire K. Ankuda, Stephen M. Petterson, Peter Wingrove, Andrew W. Bazemore
The Annals of Family Medicine Jan 2017, 15 (1) 63-67; DOI: 10.1370/afm.2002
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Subjects

  • Person groups:
    • Older adults
  • Methods:
    • Quantitative methods
  • Other research types:
    • Health services
  • Core values of primary care:
    • Access
    • Relationship

Keywords

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  • end-of-life care
  • primary care
  • healthcare services research
  • hospice
  • death
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