Article Figures & Data
Tables
- Table 1
Practice Characteristics of CPC+ Applicants and Nonapplicants in CPC+ Regions, Before CPC+
Characteristic All Practices (n = 16,883)a Among All Practices in CPC+ Regions P Value Applicants (n = 4,346)b Nonapplicants (n = 12,537) Practice size and ownership at baselinec Total no. of practitioners (any specialty), median (IQR) 2.0 (1.0-4.0) 3.0 (2.0-6.0) 2.0 (1.0-3.0) <.001 No. of primary care practitioners, median (IQR) 2.0 (1.0-3.0) 3.0 (2.0-5.0) 1.0 (1.0-3.0) <.001 Practice size Large (> 6 primary care practitioners), % (95% CI) 12.0 (11.5-12.5) 23.2 (22.0-24.5) 8.1 (7.6-8.6) <.001 Medium (3-5 primary care practitioners), % (95% CI) 24.6 (23.9-25.2) 36.2 (34.8-37.6) 20.5 (19.8-21.2) <.001 Small (1-2 primary care practitioners), % (95% CI) 63.4 (62.7-64.2) 40.5 (39.1-42.0) 71.4 (70.6-72.2) <.001 No. of attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries at baseline, median (IQR) 204 (82-412) 410 (231-740) 155 (55-311) <.001 No. of attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries at baseline per PCP, median (IQR) 113 (48-194) 144 (89-214) 99 (32-183) <.001 Owned by a health system or hospital, % (95% CI)d 31.6 (30.9-32.3) 50.9 (49.5-52.4) 24.9 (24.2-25.7) <.001 Owned or managed by a health system, % (95% CI) 27.2 (26.5-27.8) 46.4 (44.9-47.8) 20.5 (19.8-21.2) <.001 Owned by a hospital, % (95% CI) 17.4 (16.8-18.0) 25.4 (24.1-26.7) 14.7 (14.0-15.3) <.001 Practices with selected transformation experience PCMH recognition, % (95% CI)e 23.8 (23.1-24.4) 47.5 (46.0-49.0) 15.5 (14.9-16.2) <.001 Participant in a Medicare SSP ACO as of January 1 of the first intervention year, % (95% CI) 31.0 (30.3-31.7) 47.0 (45.6-48.5) 25.4 (24.6-26.2) <.001 Participant in CMMI’s TCPI, % (95% CI) 7.6 (7.2-8.0) 10.5 (9.6-11.4) 6.6 (6.2-7.1) <.001 Participant in CMMI’s MAPCP, % (95% CI)f 2.5 (2.3-2.7) 5.6 (4.9-6.3) 1.4 (1.2-1.7) <.001 Participant in CPC Classic, % (95% CI)g 2.6 (2.3-2.8) 9.9 (9.1-10.8) 0 (0-0) <.001 Primary care transformation experience (PCMH recognitione, MAPCPf, or CPC Classicg), % (95% CI) 25.8 (25.2-26.5) 53.6 (52.1-55.1) 16.2 (15.6-16.8) <.001 Primary care transformation experience or TCPI, % (95% CI) 31.3 (30.6-32.0) 59.4 (58.0-60.9) 21.6 (20.8-22.3) <.001 Primary care transformation experience or TCPI or SSP as of January 1 of the first intervention year, % (95% CI) 50.5 (49.8-51.3) 81.1 (79.9-82.3) 39.9 (39.1-40.8) <.001 Practices with ≥ 1 practitioner attesting to meaningful use of EHRs, % (95% CI)h 57.7 (57.0-58.4) 85.8 (84.7-86.8) 48.0 (47.1-48.9) <.001 Characteristics of practice county Household income in county in which practice is located ($), median (IQR)i 51,475 (43,338-62,867) 53,164 (45,698-64,916) 50,453 (42,896-62,861) <.001 Rural location, % (95% CI)j 12.9 (12.4-13.4) 8.6 (7.7-9.4) 14.4 (13.8-15.0) <.001 Suburban location, % (95% CI)j 14.5 (14.0-15.0) 14.8 (13.8-15.9) 14.4 (13.8-15.0) .469 Urban location, % (95% CI)j 72.6 (71.9-73.2) 76.6 (75.3-77.9) 71.2 (70.472.0) <.001 AAAHC = Accreditation Association for Ambulatory Health Care; ACO = Accountable Care Organization; CMMI = Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation; CMS = Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; CPC = Comprehensive Primary Care; CPC+ = Comprehensive Primary Care Plus; EHR = electronic health record; FFS = fee for service; IQR = interquartile range; MAPCP = Multi-Payer Advanced Primary Care Practice; NCQA = National Committee for Quality Assurance; PCMH = patient-centered medical home; PCP = primary care practitioner; SSP = Shared Savings Program; TCPI = Transforming Clinical Practice Initiative; TJC = The Joint Commission; URAC = Utilization Review Accreditation Commission.
Note: Table presents the unweighted mean value for each characteristic. Primary care practices include all practices with ≥1 practitioner (defined as a physician, nurse practitioner, or physician assistant) with a specialty of primary care (defined as family practice, general practice, geriatrics, or internal medicine). The 2018 starters represent 11% of all practices, 7% of applicants, and 5% of participants.
Sources: Mathematica’s analysis of data on practice size and ownership from SK&A data; data on the number and characteristics of attributed Medicare beneficiaries from Medicare Enrollment Database and claims data; data on PCMH recognition from NCQA, TJC, AAAHC, URAC, and state-specific data sources; data on Medicare SSP ACO participation from CMS Master Data Management data; data on participation in CMMI’s TCPI, CMMI’s MAPCP, and CPC Classic from CMS; data on meaningful use of EHRs from CMS Medicare EHR Incentive Program; county data from the Area Resource File.
↵a Table includes 16,883 of the 19,809 primary care practices in the 2017 and 2018 regions because we excluded 2,926 practices (15%) that had no attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries in the baseline year.
↵b A total of 4,599 practices applied for CPC+. The number of applicants in this table (4,346) is fewer because some applicants could not be identified in the SK&A data, and some applicants had no attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries at baseline.
↵c The baseline year is 2016 for the 2017 starters and 2017 for the 2018 starters.
↵d In the SK&A data, a practice can be owned (or managed) by a health system and owned by a hospital.
↵e A practice was considered to have PCMH recognition if ≥1 of its primary care practitioners had recognition at some point in 2014-2017 for the 2017 starters and 2015-2018 for the 2018 starters from a state, the AAAHC, TJC, NCQA, or URAC.
↵f We considered a practice to be a MAPCP participant if it participated in any year from 2011-2014, as determined by a file from CMS.
↵g Participants include all those practices that stayed enrolled in CPC Classic for at least the first 5 months.
↵h At least 1 practitioner attested to meaningful use under the Medicare EHR Incentive Program from 2011-2015 for 2017 starters and 2011-2016 for 2018 starters.
↵i Reflects 2014 data for the 2017 starters and 2015 data for the 2018 starters.
↵j The urbanicity of a practice’s county (rural, urban, suburban) is derived from the 2013 (latest year available) rural-urban continuum codes (https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/rural-urban-continuum-codes/documentation/) available in the Area Resource Files for both 2017 and 2018 starters.
- Table 2
Characteristics of CPC+ Applicants and Nonapplicants in CPC+ Regions, Based on Medicare FFS Beneficiary Composition, Before CPC+
Characteristic All Practices (n = 16,883)a Among All Practices in CPC+ Regions P Value Applicants (n = 4,346)b Nonapplicants (n = 12,537) Characteristics of Medicare FFS beneficiaries attributed to practice at baselinec Age 0-49 y, % (95% CI) 7.4 (7.2-7.5) 6.0 (5.8-6.2) 7.8 (7.6-8.0) <.001 50-64 y, % (95% CI) 15.2 (15.1-15.5) 13.1 (12.9-13.4) 16.0 (15.8-16.3) <.001 65-74 y, % (95% CI) 43.6 (43.4-43.8) 45.3 (45.0-45.6) 43.0 (42.8-43.3) <.001 75-84 y, % (95% CI) 22.8 (22.6-22.9) 24.1 (23.9-24.3) 22.3 (22.1-22.5) <.001 ≥ 85 y, % (95% CI) 11.0 (10.8-11.1) 11.5 (11.3-11.7) 10.8 (10.6-11.0) <.001 Male, % (95% CI) 42.4 (42.2-42.6) 41.6 (41.4-41.9) 42.7 (42.4-42.9) <.001 Race Black, % (95% CI) 12.0 (11.7-12.3) 8.5 (8.1-9.0) 13.2 (12.9-13.6) <.001 White, % (95% CI) 80.1 (79.7-80.5) 84.3 (83.7-84.9) 78.6 (78.2-79.1) <.001 Other, % (95% CI) 7.9 (7.6-8.1) 7.2 (6.8-7.6) 8.1 (7.8-8.4) <.001 Dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid, % (95% CI)d 21.7 (21.4-22.0) 17.0 (16.6-17.5) 23.4 (23.0-23.8) <.001 HCC score attributed in baseline year, mean (95% CI)e 1.15 (1.15-1.16) 1.12 (1.11-1.13) 1.16 (1.16-1.17) <.001 Chronic conditions as of baseline yearf Alzheimer disease and related dementia, % (95% CI) 8.3 (8.1-8.4) 7.7 (7.5-7.9) 8.4 (8.3-8.6) <.001 Cancer, % (95% CI) 7.0 (7.0-7.1) 7.6 (7.5-7.7) 6.8 (6.7-6.9) <.001 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, % (95% CI) 11.5 (11.4-11.7) 10.8 (10.7-11.0) 11.8 (11.6-12.0) <.001 Chronic kidney disease, % (95% CI) 16.9 (16.7-17.1) 16.8 (16.6-17.1) 16.9 (16.7-17.1) .665 Congestive heart failure, % (95% CI) 12.7 (12.5-12.8) 11.4 (11.2-11.6) 13.1 (12.9-13.3) <.001 Diabetes, % (95% CI) 27.9 (27.7-28.1) 26.3 (26.1-26.6) 28.4 (28.2-28.7) <.001 Medicare FFS expenditures and service use for Medicare FFS beneficiaries attributed to practice at baseline Medicare expenditures per beneficiary ($/mo), median (IQR)g,h 878 (717-1,088) 858 (744-1,004) 888 (702-1,126) <.001 Weighted Medicare expenditures per beneficiary ($/mo), median (IQR)g,h 875 (765-1,020) 855 (761-976) 895 (771-1,067) <.001 Acute care stays per 1,000 beneficiaries (annualized), median (IQR) 289 (220-374) 282 (233-346) 292 (213-388) .007 ED visits per 1,000 beneficiaries (annualized), median (IQR) 506 (368-721) 481 (374-638) 518 (364-762) <.001 Primary care (ambulatory) visits per 1,000 beneficiaries (annualized), median (IQR) 4,518 (3,724-5,517) 4,471 (3,927-5,161) 4,539 (3,623-5,683) .592 Percentage of discharges for which beneficiary had a 14-day follow-up visit after hospitalization, median (IQR)i 67.6 (59.6-74.8) 69.1 (63.0-74.4) 66.7 (57.7-75.0) <.001 CMS = Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; CPC+ = Comprehensive Primary Care Plus; ED = emergency department; FFS = fee for service; HCC = hierarchical condition category; IQR = interquartile range.
Note: Primary care practices include all practices with ≥ 1 practitioner (defined as a physician, nurse practitioner, or physician assistant) with a specialty of primary care (defined as family practice, general practice, geriatrics, or internal medicine). The 2018 starters represent 11% of all practices, 7% of applicants, and 5% of participants.
Sources: Mathematica’s analysis of data on the number, characteristics, and service use and spending of attributed Medicare beneficiaries based on Medicare Enrollment Database and claims data.
↵a Table includes 16,883 of the 19,809 primary care practices in the 2017 and 2018 regions because we excluded 2,926 practices (15%) that had no attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries in the baseline year.
↵b A total of 4,599 practices applied for CPC+. The number of applicants in this table (4,346) is fewer because some applicants could not be identified in the SK&A data, and some applicants had no attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries at baseline.
↵c The baseline year is 2016 for the 2017 starters and 2017 for the 2018 starters.
↵d Calculated as the percentage of beneficiaries attributed to a practice in the baseline year who were dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid in the quarter before the start of the baseline year.
↵e The HCC score is based on beneficiaries’ diagnoses in 2015 (for 2017 starters) or 2016 (for 2018 starters).
↵f The lookback periods for the chronic conditions are 3 years before the baseline year for Alzheimer and related dementia, 1 year before the baseline year for cancer and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and 2 years before the baseline year for chronic kidney disease, congestive heart failure, and diabetes.
↵g We deflated the 2017 (baseline) mean and median per beneficiary per month expenditures for the practices in the 2018 CPC+ regions by the 0.9% Medicare inflation rate (CMS Office of the Actuary, personal communication, May 6, 2019).
↵h For the calculation of the weighted (mean/median) monthly Medicare expenditures per beneficiary, the practice-level expenditure variable (mean/median) is weighted by the number of beneficiaries attributed to the practice, so that practices with more attributed beneficiaries get a greater weight. The means and medians for all of the other characteristics in the table are unweighted, meaning that each practice is treated equally, regardless of its size.
↵i This measure was calculated for beneficiaries attributed in the first quarter of the baseline year.
- Table 3
Practice Characteristics of CPC+ Participants and Nonparticipants Among CPC+ Applicants, Before CPC+
Characteristic Applicants (n = 4,346)a Among Applicants P Value Participants (n = 3,051)b,c Nonparticipants (n = 1,295) Practice size and ownership at baselined Total no. of practitioners (any specialty), median (IQR) 3.0 (2.0-6.0) 4.0 (2.0-6.0) 3.0 (2.0-5.0) <.001 No. of primary care practitioners, median (IQR) 3.0 (2.0-5.0) 3.0 (2.0-6.0) 2.0 (1.0-4.0) <.001 Practice size Large (> 6 primary care practitioners), % (95% CI) 23.3 (22.0-24.5) 26.6 (25.0-28.2) 15.4 (13.4-17.3) <.001 Medium (3-5 primary care practitioners), % (95% CI) 36.2 (34.8-37.6) 37.1 (35.4-38.9) 34.1 (31.5-36.6) .052 Small (1-2 primary care practitioners), % (95% CI) 40.5 (39.1-42.0) 36.3 (34.5-38.0) 50.6 (47.9-53.3) <.001 No. of attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries at baseline, median (IQR) 410 (231-740) 484 (288-837) 253 (117-497) <.001 No. of attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries at baseline per PCP, median (IQR) 144 (89-214) 159 (107-232) 107 (61-173) <.001 Owned by a health system or hospital, % (95% CI)e 50.9 (49.5-52.4) 54.0 (52.2-55.8) 43.7 (41.0-46.4) <.001 Owned or managed by a health system, % (95% CI) 46.4 (44.9-47.8) 49.3 (47.5-51.0) 39.5 (36.9-42.2) <.001 Owned by a hospital, % (95% CI) 25.4 (24.1-26.7) 27.6 (26.0-29.2) 20.2 (18.0-22.4) <.001 Practices with selected transformation experience PCMH recognition, % (95% CI)f 47.5 (46.0-49.0) 52.6 (50.8-54.3) 35.4 (32.8-38.1) <.001 Participant in a Medicare SSP ACO as of January 1 of the first intervention year, % (95% CI) 47.0 (45.6-48.5) 46.2 (44.5-48.0) 49.0 (46.2-51.7) .104 Participant in CMMI’s TCPI, % (95% CI) 10.5 (9.6-11.4) 10.8 (9.7-11.9) 9.7 (8.1-11.3) .276 Participant in CMMI’s MAPCP, % (95% CI)g 5.6 (4.9-6.3) 6.9 (6.0-7.7) 2.5 (1.7-3.4) <.001 Participant in CPC Classic, % (95% CI)h 9.9 (9.1-10.8) 14.1 (12.8-15.3) 0.2 (0-0.5) <.001 Primary care transformation experience (PCMH recognitionf, MAPCPg, or CPC Classich), % (95% CI) 53.6 (52.1-55.1) 60.7 (59.0-62.4) 36.8 (34.2-39.5) <.001 Primary care transformation experience or TCPI, % (95% CI) 59.4 (58.0-60.9) 65.7 (64.1-67.4) 44.5 (41.8-47.2) <.001 Primary care transformation experience or TCPI or SSP as of January 1 of the first intervention year, % (95% CI) 81.1 (79.9-82.3) 84.6 (83.3-85.9) 72.9 (70.5-75.3) <.001 Practices with ≥ 1 practitioner attesting to meaningful use of EHRs, % (95% CI)i 85.8 (84.7-86.8) 90.4 (89.3-91.4) 74.9 (72.5-77.3) <.001 Characteristics of practice county Household income in county in which practice is located ($), median (IQR)j 53,164 (45,698-64,916) 54,089 (46,185-66,315) 49,503 (44,015-61,170) <.001 Rural location, % (95% CI)k 8.6 (7.7-9.4) 8.7 (7.7-9.7) 8.3 (6.8-9.8) .646 Suburban location, % (95% CI)k 14.8 (13.8-15.9) 15.4 (14.2-16.7) 13.4 (11.6-15.3) .082 Urban location, % (95% CI)k 76.6 (75.3-77.9) 75.9 (74.4-77.4) 78.3 (76.1-80.5) .08 AAAHC = Accreditation Association for Ambulatory Health Care; ACO = Accountable Care Organization; CMMI = Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation; CMS = Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; CPC = Comprehensive Primary Care; CPC+ = Comprehensive Primary Care Plus; EHR = electronic health record; FFS = fee for service; IQR = interquartile range; MAPCP = Multi-Payer Advanced Primary Care Practice; NCQA = National Committee for Quality Assurance; PCMH = patient-centered medical home; PCP = primary care practitioner; SSP = Shared Savings Program; TCPI = Transforming Clinical Practice Initiative; TJC = The Joint Commission; URAC = Utilization Review Accreditation Commission.
Note: Table presents the unweighted mean value for each characteristic. Primary care practices include all practices with ≥1 practitioner (defined as a physician, nurse practitioner, or physician assistant) with a specialty of primary care (defined as family practice, general practice, geriatrics, or internal medicine). The 2018 starters represent 11% of all practices, 7% of applicants, and 5% of participants.
Sources: Mathematica’s analysis of data on practice size and ownership from SK&A data; data on the number and characteristics of attributed Medicare beneficiaries from Medicare Enrollment Database and claims data; data on PCMH recognition from NCQA, TJC, AAAHC, URAC, and state-specific data sources; data on Medicare SSP ACO participation from CMS Master Data Management data; data on participation in CMMI’s TCPI, CMMI’s MAPCP, and CPC Classic from CMS; data on meaningful use of EHRs from CMS Medicare EHR Incentive Program; county data from the Area Resource File.
↵a A total of 4,599 practices applied for CPC+. The number of applicants in this table (4,346) is fewer because some applicants could not be identified in the SK&A data, and some applicants had no attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries at baseline.
↵b The 2018 starters comprise approximately 5% of the participating CPC+ practices and 5% of attributed beneficiaries.
↵c As of April 1 of the first intervention year.
↵d The baseline year is 2016 for the 2017 starters and 2017 for the 2018 starters.
↵e In the SK&A data, a practice can be owned (or managed) by a health system and owned by a hospital.
↵f A practice was considered to have PCMH recognition if ≥ 1 of its primary care practitioners had recognition at some point in 2014-2017 for the 2017 starters and 2015-2018 for the 2018 starters from a state, the AAAHC, TJC, NCQA, or URAC.
↵g We considered a practice to be a MAPCP participant if it participated in any year from 2011-2014 as determined by a file from CMS.
↵h Participants include all those practices that remained enrolled in CPC Classic for at least the first 5 months.
↵i At least 1 practitioner attested to meaningful use under the Medicare EHR Incentive Program from 2011-2015 for 2017 starters and 2011-2016 for 2018 starters.
↵j Reflects 2014 data for the 2017 starters and 2015 data for the 2018 starters.
↵k The urbanicity of a practice’s county (rural, urban, suburban) is derived from the 2013 (latest year available) rural-urban continuum codes (https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/rural-urban-continuum-codes/documentation/) available in the Area Resource Files for both 2017 and 2018 starters.
- Table 4
Characteristics of CPC+ Participants and Nonparticipants Among CPC+ Applicants, Based on Medicare FFS Beneficiary Composition, Before CPC+
Characteristic Applicants (n = 4,346)a Among Applicants P Value Participants (n = 3,051)b,c Nonparticipants (n = 1,295) Characteristics of Medicare FFS beneficiaries attributed to practice at baselined Age 0-49 y, % (95% CI) 6.0 (5.8-6.2) 5.2 (5.1-5.4) 7.9 (7.5-8.4) < .001 50-64 y, % (95% CI) 13.1 (12.9-13.4) 12.0 (11.7-12.2) 15.9 (15.4-16.4) < .001 65-74 y, % (95% CI) 45.3 (45.0-45.6) 46.1 (45.8-46.4) 43.3 (42.7-44.0) < .001 75-84 y, % (95% CI) 24.1 (23.9-24.3) 24.9 (24.7-25.1) 22.2 (21.7-22.6) < .001 ≥ 85 y, % (95% CI) 11.5 (11.3-11.7) 11.8 (11.6-12.0) 10.7 (10.2-11.1) < .001 Male, % (95% CI) 41.6 (41.4-41.9) 41.7 (41.4-41.9) 41.5 (41.0-42.1) .664 Race Black, % (95% CI) 8.5 (8.1-9.0) 6.9 (6.5-7.4) 12.3 (11.3-13.4) < .001 White, % (95% CI) 84.3 (83.7-84.9) 85.8 (85.1-86.5) 80.8 (79.6-82.0) < .001 Other, % (95% CI) 7.2 (6.8-7.6) 7.3 (6.8-7.8) 6.9 (6.2-7.6) .383 Dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid, % (95% CI)e 17.0 (16.6-17.5) 14.9 (14.4-15.4) 22.0 (21.0-23.0) < .001 HCC score attributed in baseline year, mean (95% CI)f 1.12 (1.11-1.13) 1.10 (1.10-1.11) 1.16 (1.14-1.18) < .001 Chronic conditions as of baseline yearg Alzheimer disease and related dementia, % (95% CI) 7.7 (7.5-7.9) 7.4 (7.2-7.5) 8.4 (8.0-8.9) < .001 Cancer, % (95% CI) 7.6 (7.5-7.7) 7.9 (7.8-8.0) 7.0 (6.8-7.1) < .001 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, % (95% CI) 10.8 (10.7-11.0) 10.3 (10.2-10.5) 12.0 (11.6-12.4) < .001 Chronic kidney disease, % (95% CI) 16.8 (16.6-17.1) 16.4 (16.2-16.6) 17.9 (17.4-18.4) < .001 Congestive heart failure, % (95% CI) 11.4 (11.2-11.6) 11.0 (10.8-11.1) 12.4 (11.9-12.8) < .001 Diabetes, % (95% CI) 26.3 (26.1-26.6) 25.7 (25.4-26.0) 27.8 (27.2-28.4) < .001 Medicare FFS expenditures and service use for Medicare FFS beneficiaries attributed to practice at baseline Medicare expenditures per beneficiary ($/mo), median (IQR)h,i 858 (744-1,004) 850 (745-981) 874 (737-1,090) < .001 Weighted Medicare expenditures per beneficiary ($/mo), median (IQR)h,i 855 (761-976) 849 (757-964) 869 (768-1,020) < .001 Acute care stays per 1,000 beneficiaries (annualized), median (IQR) 282 (233-346) 276 (231-331) 302 (239-390) < .001 ED visits per 1,000 beneficiaries (annualized), median (IQR) 481 (374-638) 465 (366-598) 537 (397-753) < .001 Primary care (ambulatory) visits per 1,000 beneficiaries (annualized), median (IQR) 4,471 (3,927-5,161) 4,443 (3,917-5,087) 4,565 (3,957-5,503) < .001 Percentage of discharges for which beneficiary had a 14-day follow-up visit after hospitalization, median (IQR)j 69.1 (63.0-74.4) 69.6 (64.0-74.5) 67.8 (60.4-74.3) < .001 CMS = Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; CPC+ = Comprehensive Primary Care Plus; ED = emergency department; FFS = fee for service; HCC = hierarchical condition category; IQR = interquartile range.
Note: Primary care practices include all practices with ≥ 1 practitioner (defined as a physician, nurse practitioner, or physician assistant) with a specialty of primary care (defined as family practice, general practice, geriatrics, or internal medicine). The 2018 starters represent 11% of all practices, 7% of applicants, and 5% of participants.
Sources: Mathematica’s analysis of data on the number, characteristics, and service use and spending of attributed Medicare beneficiaries based on Medicare Enrollment Database and claims data.
↵a A total of 4,599 practices applied for CPC+. The number of applicants in this table (4,346) is fewer because some applicants could not be identified in the SK&A data, and some applicants had no attributed Medicare FFS beneficiaries at baseline.
↵b The 2018 starters comprise approximately 5% of the participating CPC+ practices and 5% of attributed beneficiaries.
↵c As of April 1 of the first intervention year.
↵d The baseline year is 2016 for the 2017 starters and 2017 for the 2018 starters.
↵e Calculated as the percentage of beneficiaries attributed to a practice in the baseline year who were dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid in the quarter before the start of the baseline year.
↵f The HCC score is based on beneficiaries’ diagnoses in 2015 (for 2017 starters) or 2016 (for 2018 starters).
↵g The lookback periods for the chronic conditions are 3 years before the baseline year for Alzheimer and related dementia, 1 year before the baseline year for cancer and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and 2 years before the baseline year for chronic kidney disease, congestive heart failure, and diabetes.
↵h We deflated the 2017 (baseline) mean and median per beneficiary per month expenditures for the practices in the 2018 CPC+ regions by the 0.9% Medicare inflation rate (CMS Office of the Actuary, personal communication, May 6, 2019).
↵i For the calculation of the weighted (mean/median) monthly Medicare expenditures per beneficiary, the practice-level expenditure variable (mean/median) is weighted by the number of beneficiaries attributed to the practice, so that practices with more attributed beneficiaries get a greater weight. The means and medians for all of the other characteristics in the table are unweighted, meaning that each practice is treated equally, regardless of its size.
↵j This measure was calculated for beneficiaries attributed in the first quarter of the baseline year.
Additional Files
Supplemental Appendix
Supplemental Appendix
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