Skip to main content

Main menu

  • Home
  • Current Issue
  • Content
    • Current Issue
    • Early Access
    • Multimedia
    • Podcast
    • Collections
    • Past Issues
    • Articles by Subject
    • Articles by Type
    • Supplements
    • Plain Language Summaries
    • Calls for Papers
  • Info for
    • Authors
    • Reviewers
    • Job Seekers
    • Media
  • About
    • Annals of Family Medicine
    • Editorial Staff & Boards
    • Sponsoring Organizations
    • Copyrights & Permissions
    • Announcements
  • Engage
    • Engage
    • e-Letters (Comments)
    • Subscribe
    • Podcast
    • E-mail Alerts
    • Journal Club
    • RSS
    • Annals Forum (Archive)
  • Contact
    • Contact Us
  • Careers

User menu

  • My alerts

Search

  • Advanced search
Annals of Family Medicine
  • My alerts
Annals of Family Medicine

Advanced Search

  • Home
  • Current Issue
  • Content
    • Current Issue
    • Early Access
    • Multimedia
    • Podcast
    • Collections
    • Past Issues
    • Articles by Subject
    • Articles by Type
    • Supplements
    • Plain Language Summaries
    • Calls for Papers
  • Info for
    • Authors
    • Reviewers
    • Job Seekers
    • Media
  • About
    • Annals of Family Medicine
    • Editorial Staff & Boards
    • Sponsoring Organizations
    • Copyrights & Permissions
    • Announcements
  • Engage
    • Engage
    • e-Letters (Comments)
    • Subscribe
    • Podcast
    • E-mail Alerts
    • Journal Club
    • RSS
    • Annals Forum (Archive)
  • Contact
    • Contact Us
  • Careers
  • Follow annalsfm on Twitter
  • Visit annalsfm on Facebook
Research ArticleOriginal Research

Risk Stratification Methods and Provision of Care Management Services in Comprehensive Primary Care Initiative Practices

Ashok Reddy, Laura Sessums, Reshma Gupta, Janel Jin, Tim Day, Bruce Finke and Asaf Bitton
The Annals of Family Medicine September 2017, 15 (5) 451-454; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.2124
Ashok Reddy
1Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation, Baltimore, Maryland
2Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
3Center for Scholarship in Patient Care Quality and Safety, University of Washington Medicine, Seattle, Washington
MD, MS
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • For correspondence: reddya@uw.edu
Laura Sessums
1Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation, Baltimore, Maryland
JD, MD
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Reshma Gupta
1Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation, Baltimore, Maryland
4VA/Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholars Program, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
5Department of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California
MD
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Janel Jin
1Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation, Baltimore, Maryland
MSPH
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Tim Day
1Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation, Baltimore, Maryland
MSPH
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Bruce Finke
1Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation, Baltimore, Maryland
MD
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Asaf Bitton
1Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation, Baltimore, Maryland
6Department of Health Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
7Division of General Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
8Ariadne Labs, Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
MD, MPH
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • Article
  • Figures & Data
  • eLetters
  • Info & Metrics
  • PDF
Loading

Article Figures & Data

Tables

  • Additional Files
    • View popup
    Table 1

    Comprehensive Primary Care Initiative Practice Demographics

    CharacteristicValue
    Regional distribution
     Arkansas, % (No.)14 (67)
     Colorado, % (No.)15 (71)
     New Jersey, % (No.)14 (70)
     New York: Hudson Valley region, % (No.)15 (73)
     Ohio and Kentucky: Cincinnati-Dayton region, % (No.)15 (74)
     Oklahoma: Tulsa region, % (No.)14 (66)
     Oregon, % (No.)13 (63)
    Practice size
     Solo physician, % (No.)16 (81)
     2–3 physicians, % (No.)35 (170)
     3–6 physicians, % (No.)29 (141)
     >7 physicians, % (No.)19 (92)
     Medicare fee-for-service patients, median, No. (IQR)501 (285–821)
    Ownership type
     Hospital, academic, HMO, % (No.)45 (216)
     Physician, % (No.)53 (259)
     Government, other, % (No.)2 (9)
     PCMH recognition, % (No.)42 (201)
     Multispecialty, % (No.)12 (59)
     Meaningful Use Stage 1, % (No.)77 (373)
     Metropolitan, % (No.)81 (393)
    • HMO=health maintenance organization; IQR=interquartile range; PCMH = primary care medical home.

    • View popup
    Table 2

    Comprehensive Primary Care Practice Risk Stratification Method

    Risk Stratification MethodPractice-Developed AlgorithmAAFP Available AlgorithmPayer Claims/EHRClinical IntuitionP Value
    Number of practices2151556252
    High-risk patients per primary care physician FTE, mean No. (SD)282 (355)181 (245)171 (175)218 (366).006
    High-risk patients receiving care management per primary care physician FTE, mean No. (SD)69 (148)40 (61)79 (119)91 (200).036
    Overall high-risk patients receiving care management per physician FTE, %37364348.128
    • AAFP = American Academy of Family Physicians; EHR = electronic health record; FTE = full-time equivalent.

Additional Files

  • Tables
  • The Article in Brief

    Risk Stratification Methods and Provision of Care Management Services in Comprehensive Primary Care Initiative Practices

    Ashok Reddy , and colleagues

    Background Risk stratified care management�assigning a patient to a risk category on which care is based�is increasingly viewed as a way to improve care and reduce costs. This study describes risk stratification patterns and association with care management services for practices in the Comprehensive Primary Care initiative.

    What This Study Found An analysis of 484 practices finds that they used four primary methods to risk stratify their patient populations: a practice-developed algorithm (215 practices), an American Academy of Family Physicians clinical algorithm (155 practices), payer claims/electronic health record (62 practices), and clinical intuition (52 practices). Practices that developed their own algorithm identified more patients in the highest two risk tiers than practices that used the AAFP algorithm, claims/electronic health record-derived algorithm, or clinical intuition. However, practices using a practice-developed algorithm had statistically significant lower numbers of patients receiving care management (69 patients) when compared to clinical intuition (91 patients). Practices that primarily used clinical intuition provided care management to the highest proportion of high-risk patients.

    Implications

    • The authors suggest that, as payers shift reimbursement from volume-based to value-driven care, more primary care practices will focus on finding the best ways to implement high-risk care management.
PreviousNext
Back to top

In this issue

The Annals of Family Medicine: 15 (5)
The Annals of Family Medicine: 15 (5)
Vol. 15, Issue 5
September/October 2017
  • Table of Contents
  • Index by author
  • Back Matter (PDF)
  • Front Matter (PDF)
  • In Brief
Print
Download PDF
Article Alerts
Sign In to Email Alerts with your Email Address
Email Article

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word on Annals of Family Medicine.

NOTE: We only request your email address so that the person you are recommending the page to knows that you wanted them to see it, and that it is not junk mail. We do not capture any email address.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
Risk Stratification Methods and Provision of Care Management Services in Comprehensive Primary Care Initiative Practices
(Your Name) has sent you a message from Annals of Family Medicine
(Your Name) thought you would like to see the Annals of Family Medicine web site.
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
10 + 2 =
Solve this simple math problem and enter the result. E.g. for 1+3, enter 4.
Citation Tools
Risk Stratification Methods and Provision of Care Management Services in Comprehensive Primary Care Initiative Practices
Ashok Reddy, Laura Sessums, Reshma Gupta, Janel Jin, Tim Day, Bruce Finke, Asaf Bitton
The Annals of Family Medicine Sep 2017, 15 (5) 451-454; DOI: 10.1370/afm.2124

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero
Get Permissions
Share
Risk Stratification Methods and Provision of Care Management Services in Comprehensive Primary Care Initiative Practices
Ashok Reddy, Laura Sessums, Reshma Gupta, Janel Jin, Tim Day, Bruce Finke, Asaf Bitton
The Annals of Family Medicine Sep 2017, 15 (5) 451-454; DOI: 10.1370/afm.2124
Twitter logo Facebook logo Mendeley logo
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One

Jump to section

  • Article
    • Abstract
    • INTRODUCTION
    • METHODS
    • RESULTS
    • DISCUSSION
    • Footnotes
    • References
  • Figures & Data
  • eLetters
  • Info & Metrics
  • PDF

Related Articles

  • PubMed
  • Google Scholar

Cited By...

  • Sustainability of Evidence-Based Practice Improvement Programs in Abu Dhabi Ambulatory Healthcare Services for more than a decade and During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  • Promising algorithms to perilous applications: a systematic review of risk stratification tools for predicting healthcare utilisation
  • Revitalizing Primary Care, Part 2: Hopes for the Future
  • Quantification of disparities in the distribution of lifestyle and metabolic risk factors, prevalence of non-communicable diseases and related mortality: the Belgian Health Interview Surveys 1997-2018
  • Implementing Risk Stratification in Primary Care: Challenges and Strategies
  • In This Issue: Tools to Help Focus on What is Valuable
  • Google Scholar

More in this TOC Section

  • Teamwork Among Primary Care Staff to Achieve Regular Follow-Up of Chronic Patients
  • Shared Decision Making Among Racially and/or Ethnically Diverse Populations in Primary Care: A Scoping Review of Barriers and Facilitators
  • Convenience or Continuity: When Are Patients Willing to Wait to See Their Own Doctor?
Show more Original Research

Similar Articles

Subjects

  • Domains of illness & health:
    • Chronic illness
    • Prevention
  • Person groups:
    • Vulnerable populations
  • Methods:
    • Mixed methods
  • Core values of primary care:
    • Personalized care
  • Other topics:
    • Health informatics
    • Quality improvement

Keywords

  • primary health care
  • comprehensive health care
  • patient care management
  • chronic care
  • payment reform

Content

  • Current Issue
  • Past Issues
  • Early Access
  • Plain-Language Summaries
  • Multimedia
  • Podcast
  • Articles by Type
  • Articles by Subject
  • Supplements
  • Calls for Papers

Info for

  • Authors
  • Reviewers
  • Job Seekers
  • Media

Engage

  • E-mail Alerts
  • e-Letters (Comments)
  • RSS
  • Journal Club
  • Submit a Manuscript
  • Subscribe
  • Family Medicine Careers

About

  • About Us
  • Editorial Board & Staff
  • Sponsoring Organizations
  • Copyrights & Permissions
  • Contact Us
  • eLetter/Comments Policy

© 2025 Annals of Family Medicine