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Research ArticleOriginal Research

A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Testing for Influenza A in High-Risk Adults

William J. Hueston and Joseph J. Benich
The Annals of Family Medicine January 2004, 2 (1) 33-40; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.34
William J. Hueston
MD
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Joseph J. Benich III
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    Figure 1.

    Decision tree used for the cost-benefit analysis.

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    Figure 2:
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    Figure 2:

    Cost-benefit for testing or treatment for different probability of influenza.

    Note: Lines represent cost of illness episode based on the following strategies: Treat all (diamonds), test and treat patient with positive test results (squares), and treat none (triangles).

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    Figure 3:
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    Figure 3:

    Threshold analysis for individual benefit.

    Note: Either empiric treatment (3A) or test before treatment (3B) is preferred to no treatment for amantadine (diamonds), rimantadine (squares), zanamivir (triangle), and oseltamivir (X).

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    Table 1.

    Baseline Probability and Cost Assumptions for Influenza: Testing-Treatment Model

    VariableBaseline AssumptionSensitivity Test Range
    * For benefits, a threshold analysis was performed (see Figure 3 and text).
    Cost assumptions
        Cost of diagnostic test, $20.005–30
        Benefits of recovery, $177.20*
        Additional physician visit for drug reaction, $40.4832.38–48.54
        Complication with hospitalization, $8,960.207,175–10,763
    Medication costs (full course of therapy)
        Amantadine, $10.508.40–12.60
        Rimantadine, $24.0819.26–28.90
        Zanamivir, $49.3539.48–59.22
        Oseltamivir, $61.0048.80–73.20
    Probability assumptions
        Test sensitivity, %72.550–95
        Test specificity, %90.080–00
        Probability of drug side effect, %3.00–6
        Probability of influenza complication, %0.50.3–5
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    Table 2.

    Most Cost-Beneficial Treatment Strategy for Each Antiviral Drug

    Drug PrescribedNo Treatment %Test Before Treatment %Empiric Treatment %
    Note: Based on probability that a high-risk patient has influenza: population probability where strategy is most cost-beneficial.
    Amantadine<5--≥5
    Rimantadine<11--≥11
    Zanamivir<19≥19 but ≤28>28
    Oseltamivir<22≥22 but ≤36>36
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The Annals of Family Medicine: 2 (1)
The Annals of Family Medicine: 2 (1)
Vol. 2, Issue 1
1 Jan 2004
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A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Testing for Influenza A in High-Risk Adults
William J. Hueston, Joseph J. Benich
The Annals of Family Medicine Jan 2004, 2 (1) 33-40; DOI: 10.1370/afm.34

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A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Testing for Influenza A in High-Risk Adults
William J. Hueston, Joseph J. Benich
The Annals of Family Medicine Jan 2004, 2 (1) 33-40; DOI: 10.1370/afm.34
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