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Research ArticleResearch Briefs

Declining Comprehensiveness of Services Delivered by Canadian Family Physicians Is Not Driven by Early-Career Physicians

M. Ruth Lavergne, David Rudoler, Sandra Peterson, David Stock, Carole Taylor, Andrew S. Wilton, Sabrina T. Wong, Ian Scott, Kimberlyn M. McGrail, Rita McCracken, Emily G. Marshall, Adrian MacKenzie, Alan Katz, Margaret Jamieson, Lindsay Hedden, Agnes Grudniewicz, Laurie J. Goldsmith, Richard H. Glazier, Fred Burge and Doug Blackie
The Annals of Family Medicine March 2023, 21 (2) 151-156; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.2945
M. Ruth Lavergne
Dalhousie University, Department of Family Medicine, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada (M. R. L., F. B.)
Canada Research Chairs Program, Tier II Primary Care, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada (M. R. L.)
MSc, PhD
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  • For correspondence: ruth.lavergne@dal.ca
David Rudoler
Ontario Tech University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Oshawa, Ontario, Canada (D. R.)
Ontario Shores Centre for Mental Health Sciences, Whitby, Ontario, Canada (D. R.)
MPPAL, PhD
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Sandra Peterson
The University of British Columbia, Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (S. P., S. T. W., K. M. M.)
MSc
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David Stock
Dalhousie University, Department of Community Health and Epidemiology, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada (D. S., A. M.)
MSc, PhD
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Carole Taylor
University of Manitoba, Manitoba Centre for Health Policy, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada (C. T.)
MSc
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Andrew S. Wilton
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (A. S. W., R. H. G.)
MSc
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Sabrina T. Wong
The University of British Columbia, Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (S. P., S. T. W., K. M. M.)
National Institute of Nursing Research, Division of Intramural Research (this work was completed while at the University of British Columbia, School of Nursing, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada) (S. T. W.)
RN, PhD
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Ian Scott
The University of British Columbia, Department of Family Practice, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (I. S., R. M.)
The University of British Columbia, Centre for Health Education Scholarship, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (I. S.)
MSc, MD
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Kimberlyn M. McGrail
The University of British Columbia, Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (S. P., S. T. W., K. M. M.)
MPH, PhD
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Rita McCracken
The University of British Columbia, Department of Family Practice, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (I. S., R. M.)
MD, PhD
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Emily G. Marshall
Nova Scotia Health Authority, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada (E. G. M., A. M.)
Dalhousie University, Primary Care Research Unit, Department of Family Medicine, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada (E. G. M.)
MSc, PhD
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Adrian MacKenzie
Dalhousie University, Department of Community Health and Epidemiology, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada (D. S., A. M.)
Nova Scotia Health Authority, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada (E. G. M., A. M.)
PhD
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Alan Katz
University of Manitoba, Department of Family Medicine, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada (A.K.)
University of Manitoba, Department of Community Health Sciences, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada (A. K.)
MBChB, MSc
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Margaret Jamieson
University of Toronto, Institute of Health Policy Management and Evaluation, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (M. J., R. H. G.)
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Lindsay Hedden
Simon Fraser University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada (L. H., L. J. G.)
MSc, PhD
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Agnes Grudniewicz
University of Ottawa, Telfer School of Management, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada (A. G.)
PhD
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Laurie J. Goldsmith
Simon Fraser University, Faculty of Health Sciences, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada (L. H., L. J. G.)
1GoldQual Consulting, Ontario, Canada (L. J. G.)
MSc, PhD
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Richard H. Glazier
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (A. S. W., R. H. G.)
University of Toronto, Institute of Health Policy Management and Evaluation, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (M. J., R. H. G.)
St Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (R. H. G.)
University of Toronto, Department of Family and Community Medicine, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (R. H. G.)
MPH, MD
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Fred Burge
Dalhousie University, Department of Family Medicine, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada (M. R. L., F. B.)
MSc, MD
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Doug Blackie
Royal Roads University, School of Leadership Studies, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada (D. B.)
Doug Blackie Consulting, Inc, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada (D. B.).
MPA
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    Figure 1.

    Mean number of service settings and service areas in 1999-2000 and 2017-2018 and changes over time, by years in practice.

    a In Manitoba this category includes all physicians in practice ≥20 years.

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    Table 1.

    Rate Ratios (95% CI) for Comprehensiveness of Service Settings

    British ColumbiaManitobaOntarioNova Scotia
    UnadjustedAdjustedUnadjustedAdjustedUnadjustedAdjustedUnadjustedAdjusted
    InterceptNA3.72
    (3.54-3.91)
    NA3.26
    (2.92-3.63)
    NA3.1
    (2.9-3.21)
    NA2.26
    (2.06-2.47)
    Years since MD (reference = 10-19 years)
    <100.92
    (0.88-0.96)
    0.9
    (0.86-0.94)
    0.86
    (0.78-0.94)
    0.89
    (0.81-0.97)
    0.92
    (0.89-0.94)
    0.95
    (0.92-0.99)
    0.92
    (0.85-0.98)
    0.96
    (0.88-1.04)
    20-29 (MB: ≥20)0.9
    (0.86-0.93)
    1.02
    (0.98-1.06)
    0.89
    (0.79-0.99)
    1.05
    (0.95-1.16)
    0.96
    (0.93-0.98)
    0.96
    (0.93-1.0)
    0.96
    (0.89-1.03)
    1.0
    (0.93-1.04)
    ≥300.63
    (0.6-0.67)
    0.95
    (0.9-1.01)
    NANA0.8
    (0.77-0.82)
    0.89
    (0.85-0.93)
    0.77
    (0.72-0.83)
    0.86
    (0.77-0.95)
    Year
    2017-2018 (vs 1999-2000)0.49
    (0.47-0.5)
    0.52
    (0.49-0.56)
    0.45
    (0.42-0.48)
    0.48
    (0.42-0.56)
    0.6
    (0.59-0.62)
    0.65
    (0.62-0.68)
    0.69
    (0.67-0.73)
    0.76
    (0.96-0.84)
    Interaction
    Year, <10NA1.25
    (1.15-1.37)
    NA1.13
    (0.96-1.34)
    NA1.13
    (1.06-1.2)
    NA1.07
    (0.94-1.23)
    Year, 20-29 (MB: ≥20)NA0.95
    (0.86-1.03)
    NA0.92
    (0.76-1.12)
    NA1.0
    (0.95-1.06)
    NA0.94
    (0.83-1.08)
    Year, ≥30NA0.87
    (0.78-0.96)
    NANANA0.99
    (0.9-1.05)
    NA1.09
    (0.94-1.26)
    Covariates
    Male (vs female)1.29
    (1.24-1.34)
    1.11
    (1.07-1.16)
    1.69
    (1.54-1.84)
    1.27
    (1.17-1.37)
    1.4
    (1.37-1.43)
    1.22
    (1.19-1.25)
    1.14
    (1.08-1.2)
    0.99
    (0.95-1.06)
    Urban (vs rural)0.75
    (0.72-0.77)
    0.72
    (0.7-0.75)
    0.56
    (0.52-0.6)
    0.54
    (0.5-0.57)
    0.54
    (0.53-0.56)
    0.55
    (0.53-0.56)
    0.9
    (0.85-0.96)
    1.0
    (0.95-1.06)
    Number of contacts (per 100 contacts)1.01
    (1.0-1.01)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.01
    (1.0-1.01)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.01)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.01
    (1.01-1.01)
    1.01
    (1.0-1.01)
    International MD (vs Canadian MD)0.86
    (0.83-0.9)
    0.9
    (0.87-0.94)
    0.91
    (0.84-0.98)
    0.79
    (0.73-0.84)
    NANANANA
    Unknown MD (vs Canadian MD)0.76
    (0.66-0.87)
    0.83
    (0.73-0.95)
    1.22
    (0.92-1.62)
    1.38
    (1.26-1.52)
    NANANANA
    • MB = Manitoba; MD = Doctor of Medicine; NA = not applicable.

    • Note: There were missing data on place of graduation in Nova Scotia and incomplete data in Ontario; therefore, this variable was excluded from modeling in these provinces.

    • View popup
    Table 2.

    Rate Ratios (95% CI) for Comprehensiveness of Service Areas

    British ColumbiaManitobaOntarioNova Scotia
    UnadjustedAdjustedUnadjustedAdjustedUnadjustedAdjustedUnadjustedAdjusted
    Intercept  NA4.56
    (4.46-4.65)
      NA4.57
    (4.36-4.78)
      NA4.99
    (4.86-5.13)
      NA3.72
    (3.55-3.9)
    Years since MD (reference = 10-19 years)
    <100.99
    (0.98-1.01)
    1.02
    (1.0-1.04)
    0.96
    (0.93-0.99)
    1.01
    (0.98-1.05)
    1.0
    (0.98-1.01)
    0.99
    (0.97-1.02)
    1.02
    (0.98-1.05)
    1.03
    (0.99-1.07)
    20-29 (MB: ≥20)0.98
    (0.97-0.99)
    0.99
    (0.97-1.01)
    0.94
    (0.9-0.97)
    1.02
    (0.97-1.06)
    0.97
    (0.96-0.99)
    0.97
    (0.95-1.0)
    0.98
    (0.95-1.01)
    0.98
    (0.95-1.02)
    ≥300.89
    (0.88-0.91)
    0.92
    (0.89-0.95)
      NA  NA0.89
    (0.87-0.9)
    0.9
    (0.88-0.93)
    0.87
    (0.84-0.9)
    0.87
    (0.81-0.93)
    Year
    2017-2018 (vs 1999-2000)0.93
    (0.93-0.94)
    0.99
    (0.97-1.01)
    0.9
    (0.88-0.92)
    0.97
    (0.93-1.02)
    0.93
    (0.92-0.94)
    0.95
    (0.93-0.98)
    0.89
    (0.87-0.91)
    0.95
    (0.9-1.0)
    Interaction
    Year, <10  NA1.0
    (0.97-1.03)
      NA0.97
    (0.92-1.02)
      NA1.06
    (1.02-1.1)
      NA1.04
    (0.97-1.11)
    Year, 20-29 (MB: ≥20)  NA0.98
    (0.95-1.0)
      NA0.92
    (0.86-0.99)
      NA1.0
    (0.96-1.03)
      NA0.98
    (0.92-1.05)
    Year, ≥30  NA1.01
    (0.97-1.05)
      NA  NA  NA1.04
    (1.0-1.08)
      NA1.07
    (0.98-1.16)
    Covariates
    Male (vs female)1.03
    (1.02-1.04)
    0.97
    (0.96-0.98)
    1.02
    (0.99-1.04)
    0.92
    (0.9-0.95)
    1.01
    (1.0-1.02)
    0.96
    (0.95-0.98)
    0.99
    (0.97-1.02)
    0.91
    (0.89-0.94)
    Urban (vs rural)0.96
    (0.94-0.97)
    0.92
    (0.91-0.93)
    0.93
    (0.9-0.95)
    0.88
    (0.85-0.9)
    0.89
    (0.88-0.91)
    0.88
    (0.86-0.9)
    0.91
    (0.89-0.94)
    0.96
    (0.93-0.98)
    Number of contacts (per 100 contacts)1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.0)
    1.0
    (1.0-1.01)
    International MD (vs Canadian MD)1.03
    (1.02-1.04)
    1.01
    (1.00-1.02)
    1.0
    (0.97-1.03)
    0.94
    (0.92-0.96)
      NA  NA  NA  NA
    Unknown MD (vs Canadian MD)0.97
    (0.93-1.01)
    0.95
    (0.91-0.99)
    1.0
    (0.85-1.16)
    1.01
    (0.86-1.19)
      NA  NA  NA  NA
    • MB = Manitoba; MD = Doctor of Medicine; NA = not applicable.

    • Note: There were missing data on place of graduation in Nova Scotia and incomplete data in Ontario; therefore, this variable was excluded from modeling in these provinces.

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Declining Comprehensiveness of Services Delivered by Canadian Family Physicians Is Not Driven by Early-Career Physicians
M. Ruth Lavergne, David Rudoler, Sandra Peterson, David Stock, Carole Taylor, Andrew S. Wilton, Sabrina T. Wong, Ian Scott, Kimberlyn M. McGrail, Rita McCracken, Emily G. Marshall, Adrian MacKenzie, Alan Katz, Margaret Jamieson, Lindsay Hedden, Agnes Grudniewicz, Laurie J. Goldsmith, Richard H. Glazier, Fred Burge, Doug Blackie
The Annals of Family Medicine Mar 2023, 21 (2) 151-156; DOI: 10.1370/afm.2945

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Declining Comprehensiveness of Services Delivered by Canadian Family Physicians Is Not Driven by Early-Career Physicians
M. Ruth Lavergne, David Rudoler, Sandra Peterson, David Stock, Carole Taylor, Andrew S. Wilton, Sabrina T. Wong, Ian Scott, Kimberlyn M. McGrail, Rita McCracken, Emily G. Marshall, Adrian MacKenzie, Alan Katz, Margaret Jamieson, Lindsay Hedden, Agnes Grudniewicz, Laurie J. Goldsmith, Richard H. Glazier, Fred Burge, Doug Blackie
The Annals of Family Medicine Mar 2023, 21 (2) 151-156; DOI: 10.1370/afm.2945
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