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Research ArticleOriginal Research

Impact of the 2004 Influenza Vaccine Shortage on Repeat Immunization Rates

Charles P. Schade and Karen L. Hannah
The Annals of Family Medicine November 2006, 4 (6) 541-547; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.644
Charles P. Schade
MD, MPH
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Karen L. Hannah
MBA
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  • Figure 1.
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    Figure 1.

    Claims rates for influenza immunization from the same physician, another clinician, or no clinician, by year.

    Annual median percentages of fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries =65 years with claims for influenza immunization the previous year having current year claims from the same physician, another clinician, or no claim. Figure is based on claims reported to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services by unique physician identifying numbers for West Virginia and includes physicians claiming at least 25 immunizations between September 1 and December 31 of each year. The percentages represent the median for each indicator across all such physicians in a given year.

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    Table 1.

    Specialty Distribution of West Virginia Physicians Providing Influenza Immunization, 2004

    SpecialtyNo.%
    Note: West Virginia physicians with at least 25 claims for influenza immunization between September 1 and December 31, 2004, for Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged =65 years. Specialties are the first listed specialty reported to Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.
    General practice729.0
    Internal medicine30137.7
    Family practice24630.8
    Other specialty11914.9
    Unknown617.6
    Total799100.0
    • View popup
    Table 2.

    West Virginia Physicians with Medicare Claims for Influenza Immunization, 1999–2004

    No. of Physicians With at Least
    Year1 Claim25 ClaimsTotal Claims No.Average Claims per Physician No.
    Note: Claims for fee-for-service beneficiaries aged =65 years, 1999–2004.
    19992,77384997,53835.2
    20002,51472480,51932.0
    20012,57872385,44233.1
    20022,60378688,93834.2
    20032,92179992,36031.6
    20042,05137943,91421.4
    • View popup
    Table 3.

    Claims for Influenza Immunization Among West Virginia Medicare Beneficiaries Aged 65 Years and Older, by Provider Type, 1999–2004

    Provider Type1999 No. (%)2000 No. (%)2001 No. (%)2002 No. (%)2003 No. (%)2004 No. (%)
    Hospital3,681 (3.6)4,515 (5.1)5,468 (5.8)3,905 (3.9)5,033 (5.0)6,071 (9.2)
    Home health1,400 (1.4)437 (0.5)1,522 (1.6)725 (0.7)1,492 (1.5)1,784 (2.7)
    Nursing home2,556 (2.5)2,424 (2.8)2,461 (2.6)2,491 (2.5)2,700 (2.7)1,957 (3.0)
    Other Part A2,066 (2.0)1,838 (2.1)857 (0.9)757 (0.7)932 (.9)1,064 (1.6)
    Physician83,391 (81.3)66,648 (75.9)71,594 (76.5)80,233 (79.3)77,065 (77.2)33,407 (50.6)
    Mass vaccinator8,957 (8.7)11,369 (13.0)10,838 (11.6)11,781 (11.7)11,063 (11.1)20,559 (31.2)
    Other Part B383 (0.4)377 (0.4)773 (0.8)1,101 (1.1)1,356 (1.4)758 (1.1)
    Unknown136 (0.1)152 (0.2)98 (0.1)121 (0.1)199 (0.2)381 (0.6)
    Total102,570 (100)87,760 (100)93,611 (100)101,114 (100)99,840 (100)65,981 (100)
    • View popup
    Table 4.

    Mass Vaccinator Clinicians and Claims, West Virginia Medicare Claims for Influenza Immunization, 1999–2004

    CliniciansClaims
    YearTotal No.Larger* No.Total No.Larger* No. (%)
    *At least 100 claims in a given year.
    1999139208,9578,279 (92.4)
    20001551911,36910,314 (90.7)
    20011352310,83810,138 (93.5)
    20021552711,78110,866 (92.2)
    20031642311,06310,040 (90.8)
    20042022920,55919,379 (94.3)
    • View popup
    Table 5.

    Medicare Influenza Immunization Rates, West Virginia, 1993–2004

    YearClaims* %BRFSS† %Lagged Prediction‡ %Estimated Nonbilling§ %
    Note: BRFSS = Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System.
    * Claims represent proportion of Medicare beneficiaries =65 years who had claims for influenza vaccine between September 1 of the indicated year and January 31 of the subsequent year.
    † BRFSS is the proportion of the West Virginia population =65 years who indicated having an influenza immunization in the previous 12 months during the indicated year.
    ‡ Lagged prediction is the predicted true proportion of the West Virginia population =65 years who received influenza immunization, based on the following year’s BRFSS results, with a sensitivity of 0.98 and specificity of 0.71, after MacDonald et al.27
    § Estimated nonbilling is the difference between the lagged prediction and the claims rates of influenza immunization.
    1993–49.8––
    199435.7–35.1−0.6
    199537.153.2––
    199637.0–42.35.3
    199739.158.249.110.0
    199839.462.949.19.7
    199942.562.9––
    200036.5–47.410.9
    200138.961.753.314.4
    200241.865.858.116.3
    200341.269.156.415.2
    200427.167.950.123.1
    2005–63.6––

Additional Files

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  • The Article in Brief

    Impact of the 2004 Influenza Vaccine Shortage on Repeat Immunization Rates

    By Charles P. Schade, MD, MPH, and colleague

    Background In 2004, there was a severe shortage of influenza (flu) vaccine in the United States. As a result, it was recommended that doctors give flu vaccinations only to people in high-risk groups. This study examines Medicare data in West Virginia to determine how doctors and patients were affected by the shortage of flu vaccines.

    What This Study Found In 2004, total Medicare claims for flu vaccinations in West Virginia dropped by more than 50%, from more than 92,000 in 2003 to approximately 44,000 in 2004. Some patients received vaccines from sources other than their regular doctors, most often from a mass immunizer (an organization such as a public health clinic or pharmacy that offers vaccinations to large numbers of people). The number of Medicare beneficiaries receiving a flu vaccine fell by about 8% in 2004 compared with previous years. The percentage of Medicare recipients who received flu vaccine from the same clinician as the year before fell from 54% in 2002-2003 to 3% in 2003-2004.

    Implications

    • The 2004 vaccine shortage severely affected the ability of doctors to provide flu immunizations, an important preventive health service, to their patients.
    • The shortage also appeared to disrupt the ongoing relationship between patients and doctors.
    • Those who did not receive immunizations were most likely people who lacked transportation or were too ill to locate a different source of flu vaccine.
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The Annals of Family Medicine: 4 (6)
The Annals of Family Medicine: 4 (6)
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Impact of the 2004 Influenza Vaccine Shortage on Repeat Immunization Rates
Charles P. Schade, Karen L. Hannah
The Annals of Family Medicine Nov 2006, 4 (6) 541-547; DOI: 10.1370/afm.644

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Impact of the 2004 Influenza Vaccine Shortage on Repeat Immunization Rates
Charles P. Schade, Karen L. Hannah
The Annals of Family Medicine Nov 2006, 4 (6) 541-547; DOI: 10.1370/afm.644
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