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Research ArticleOriginal Research

Self-Rated Cardiovascular Risk and 15-Year Cardiovascular Mortality

Robert Gramling, William Klein, Mary Roberts, Molly E. Waring, David Gramling and Charles B. Eaton
The Annals of Family Medicine July 2008, 6 (4) 302-306; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.859
Robert Gramling
MD, DSc
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William Klein
PhD
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Mary Roberts
MS
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Molly E. Waring
MS
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David Gramling
PhD
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Charles B. Eaton
MD, MS
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Tables

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    Table 1.

    Sample Description by Sex and Self-Rated Cardiovascular Disease Risk

    Women “Lower Than Average”Men “Lower Than Average”
    CharacteristicYes n (%)aNo n (%)aPValuebYes n (%)aNo n (%)aPValueb
    a Might not equal 100% due to rounding.
    b Determined by the χ2 test.
    c First-degree, early-onset myocardial infarction.
    d Self-reported.
    e Systolic blood pressure >139 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure >89 mm Hg, or taking blood pressure medications.
    Total557 (33)1,121 (67)397 (35)741 (65)
    Age at enrollment<.01.28
        35–44 y209 (38)322 (29)141 (36)247 (33)
        45–54 y142 (26)288 (26)98 (25)210 (28)
        55–64 y111 (20)299 (27)89 (22)179 (24)
        65–75 y95 (17)212 (19)69 (17)104 (14)
    Race/ethnicity.22.29
        White, non-Hispanic503 (90)977 (87)357 (90)664 (90)
        White, Hispanic8 (1.4)17 (1.5)3 (0.8)10 (1.3)
        Black/African American14 (2.5)31 (2.8)16 (4.0)18 (2.4)
        Other32 (5.7)96 (8.6)21 (5.3)49 (6.6)
    Education level<.01.01
        <High school graduate197 (35)543 (48)163 (41)374 (51)
        High school graduate167 (30)321 (29)94 (24)167 (23)
        Some college107 (19)171 (15)77 (19)110 (15)
        ≥4-y college graduate86 (15)86 (7.7)63 (16)90 (12)
    Per capita household income<.01.01
        <$7,500200 (36)515 (46)117 (30)268 (36)
        $7,500 to <$12,500146 (26)266 (24)95 (24)195 (26)
        >$12,500211 (38)340 (30)185 (47)278 (38)
    Foreign born132 (24)348 (31)<.01115 (29)268 (36).01
    Family historyc40 (10)91 (12).1173 (13)181 (16).27
    Current smoker110 (20)308 (28)<.0192 (23)274 (37)<.01
    Obese94 (17)400 (36)<.0181 (20)205 (28)<.01
    Diabetes mellitusd29 (5.2)115 (10)<.0127 (6.8)71 (9.6).11
    Hypertensione156 (28)489 (44)<.01169 (43)365 (49).03
    Total cholesterol >200 mg/dL331 (59)813 (73)<.01264 (67)551 (74)<.01
    • View popup
    Table 2.

    Crude and Framingham Risk Score-Adjusted Association Between Low Self-Rated CVD Risk and CVD Death by Sex

    Women (n=1,678)Men (n=1,138)
    Low SRRNo. of Deaths From CVDHR (95% CI)HRadj (95% CI)No. of Deaths From CVDHR (95% CI)HRadj (95% CI)
    CI=confidence interval; CVD = cardiovascular disease; HR = hazard ratio; HRadj=adjusted hazard ratio;
    ref=reference group; SSR=self-rated cardiovascular disese risk.
    Yes140.9 (0.5–1.7)1.5 (0.8–2.8)80.3 (0.2–0.7)0.4 (0.2–0.8)
    No30refref46refref
    • View popup
    Table 3.

    Distribution of Framingham Risk Score Categories Among Participants Endorsing Their Risk as Lower Than Others of Same Age and Sex

    DistributionWomen (n=555) %Men (n=396) %
    Low (<2 risk factors and <10% 10-y risk)75.046.0
    Moderate (>2 risk factors and <10% 10-y risk)16.09.3
    High (10%–20% 10-y risk)4.119.0
    Very high (>20% 10-y risk)5.226.0

Additional Files

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  • In Brief

    Self-Rated Cardiovascular Risk and 15-Year Cardiovascular Mortality

    Robert Gramling , and colleagues

    Background Many people believe they have a low risk of cardiovascular disease, but little is known about the long-term results of such optimistic beliefs. In this study, researchers evaluate whether lower self-ratings of cardiovascular disease risk are related to lower rates of death from cardiovascular disease.

    What This Study Found Men (but not women) who rate their 5-year risk of having a stroke or heart attack as "low" go on to have a lower-than-expected rate of death from cardiovascular disease in the next 15 years. Analyzing data from 2,816 adults, researchers found that men who rated their cardiovascular disease risk as lower than other men of their age had nearly a three times lower incidence of death from cardiovascular disease compared with all others.

    Implications

    • For men, optimistic perceptions of health risk leads to health benefits.
    • A message about cardiovascular disease risk from a trusted doctor is likely to have a more long-lasting effect on patients� self-ratings of risk of cardiovascular disease than messages from less trusted sources.
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The Annals of Family Medicine: 6 (4)
The Annals of Family Medicine: 6 (4)
Vol. 6, Issue 4
1 Jul 2008
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Self-Rated Cardiovascular Risk and 15-Year Cardiovascular Mortality
Robert Gramling, William Klein, Mary Roberts, Molly E. Waring, David Gramling, Charles B. Eaton
The Annals of Family Medicine Jul 2008, 6 (4) 302-306; DOI: 10.1370/afm.859

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Self-Rated Cardiovascular Risk and 15-Year Cardiovascular Mortality
Robert Gramling, William Klein, Mary Roberts, Molly E. Waring, David Gramling, Charles B. Eaton
The Annals of Family Medicine Jul 2008, 6 (4) 302-306; DOI: 10.1370/afm.859
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