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Research ArticleMethodology

Undisclosed Changes in Outcomes in Randomized Controlled Trials: An Observational Study

Robert Ewart, Harald Lausen and Norman Millian
The Annals of Family Medicine November 2009, 7 (6) 542-546; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.1017
Robert Ewart
MD
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Harald Lausen
DO
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Norman Millian
MD
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    Table 1.

    Study Flow (N = 158)

    CharacteristicsNo.
    Note: Randomized controlled trials reported in Annals of Internal Medicine, British Medical Journal, The Journal of the American Medical Association, The New England Journal of Medicine, and The Lancet between September 2006 and February 2007.
    a Results total to more than 48, as several trials were excluded for more than 1 reason.
    Excluded trialsa48
        No, incorrect, or not publicly accessible trial registration database recorded in the main publication11
        Registry did not record a primary outcome, or the outcome recorded was too vague to use20
        Publication was not the main report of the trial results23
    Included trials
        Information extracted: study reference and copy of study, trials registration reference and copy of registration, primary and secondary outcomes in the final report, primary and secondary outcomes in the trials registration database110
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    Table 2.

    Journals Publishing Trials Reports Reviewed in the Study

    JournalIncluded TrialsExcluded TrialsTotal
    Annals of Internal Medicine12315
    British Medical Journal201131
    The Journal of the American Medical Association15722
    The Lancet191231
    The New England Journal of Medicine441559
    Total11048158
    • View popup
    Table 3.

    Databases of Reported Trials

    Database or RegistryNo. of ReportsComments
    Note: Eleven reports did not list a registration database.
    Australian Clinical Trials Registry2No longer active. Merged into Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR: http://www.anzctr.org.au) Managed by NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney
    Clinicaltrials.gov (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov)112Managed by US National Institutes of Health
    European Clinical Trials Database (http://eudract.emea.europa.eu)1Not publicly searchable. Managed on behalf of the European Commission
    International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number Register (http://www.isrctn.org)30Managed by Current Controlled Trials, Ltd (http://www.controlled-trials.com). Also contains a searchable meta-register of other trials databases
    National Research Register1No longer active. Archive available at: http://portal.nihr.ac.uk/Pages/NRRArchive.aspx. Managed by UK National Health Service – National Institute for Health Research
    • View popup
    Table 4.

    Summary of Outcome Changes of Included Studies (n = 110)

    Study CharacteristicNo.% (95% CI)
    Note: Studies could have multiple changes.
    Primary outcomes
        No change7669 (60–77)
        Change3431 (23–40)
        Change by addition10–
        Change by promotion from secondary3–
        Change by deletion20–
        Change by demotion to secondary6–
    Secondary outcomes
        No change3330 (22–39)
        Change7770 (61–78)
        Change by addition54–
        Change by demotion from primary5–
        Change by deletion48–
        Change by promotion to primary3–
    • View popup
    Table 5.

    Examples of Changes Made Between Trial Registration and Publication of Findings

    Primary OutcomesSecondary Outcomes
    Study DescriptionRegistryPublicationRegistryPublicationNotes
    ER=extended release; 5-FU=5-fluorouracil; NICU = neonatal intensive care unit.
    Kaplan et al9,101. Patient perception of treatment benefit at week 121. Reported24 outcomes grouped in several domains7 outcomes, 2 not mentioned as out- comes in registrySeveral clinically important secondary outcome measures listed in the registry (continence, overactive bladder, erectile function) are not mentioned in the publication
    Safety and efficacy of tolterodine ER, tamsulosin, or the combination, against placebo in men with lower urinary symptoms2. Treatment benefit, treatment satisfaction, and willingness to continue treatment questions at week 122. Not reported as a primary outcome but some measures reported as secondary outcomes
    Bosset et al11,121. Disease-free survival1. Not reportedNone listedNone listedDisease-free and progression-free survival both discussed in the publication, but not as outcomes
    Treatment of rectal cancer with radio- therapy and 5-FU2. Overall survival2. Reported
    Michalowicz et al13,141. Gestational age at birth1. ReportedNone listed1. Birth weightDemotion of 1 primary outcome and addition of multiple secondary outcomes
    Effect of treatment of periodontal disease on the risk of pregnancy complications2. Birth weight2. Reported as a secondary outcome2. Infants small for gestational age
    3. Apgar scores
    4. Admissions to NICU

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  • The Article in Brief

    Undisclosed Changes in Outcomes in Randomized Controlled Trials: An Observational Study

    Robert Ewart , and colleagues

    Background Changing the outcomes of a clinical trial, without explanation, calls its validity into question. This study examines how often outcomes are changed between trial registration and final publication.

    What This Study Found Authors frequently change the outcomes of clinical trials between trial registration and publication without explanation or disclosure. Analyzing 110 randomized controlled trials published in consecutive issues of five major medical journals in a six-month period and their associated trial registry entries, researchers found that a primary outcome had been changed in 34 (31 percent) of the articles and a secondary outcome was changed in 77 (70 percent) without disclosure.

    Implications

    • The authors assert that allowing researchers to change their outcomes without reason or disclosure threatens the underpinnings of the scientific enterprise and the ability of practicing physicians to apply published research to patient care.
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The Annals of Family Medicine: 7 (6)
The Annals of Family Medicine: 7 (6)
Vol. 7, Issue 6
1 Nov 2009
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Undisclosed Changes in Outcomes in Randomized Controlled Trials: An Observational Study
Robert Ewart, Harald Lausen, Norman Millian
The Annals of Family Medicine Nov 2009, 7 (6) 542-546; DOI: 10.1370/afm.1017

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Undisclosed Changes in Outcomes in Randomized Controlled Trials: An Observational Study
Robert Ewart, Harald Lausen, Norman Millian
The Annals of Family Medicine Nov 2009, 7 (6) 542-546; DOI: 10.1370/afm.1017
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