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Research ArticleOriginal Research

Emergency Department Use and Enrollment in a Medical Home Providing After-Hours Care

Tara Kiran, Rahim Moineddin, Alexander Kopp, Eliot Frymire and Richard H. Glazier
The Annals of Family Medicine September 2018, 16 (5) 419-427; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.2291
Tara Kiran
1Department of Family and Community Medicine and the Centre for Urban Health Solutions in the Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
2Department of Family and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
3Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
4Health Quality Ontario, Ontario, Canada
MD, MSc
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  • For correspondence: tara.kiran@utoronto.ca
Rahim Moineddin
2Department of Family and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
3Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
PhD
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Alexander Kopp
3Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
BA
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Eliot Frymire
5Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
6Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, Queens University, Kingston, Canada
MA
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Richard H. Glazier
1Department of Family and Community Medicine and the Centre for Urban Health Solutions in the Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
2Department of Family and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
3Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
7Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
8Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
MD, MPH
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  • Figure 1
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    Figure 1
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    Figure 1

    Annual number of emergency department visits per 1,000 persons between 2003 and 2014, unadjusted for patient characteristics.

    A. Emergency department visit rate stratified by weekday and weekend.

    B. Emergency department visit rate per hour on weekdays stratified by time of day.

  • Figure 2
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    Figure 2

    Crude number of emergency department visits and after-hours primary care visits for adult Ontarians between 2003 and 2014.

  • Figure 3
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    Figure 3

    Crude emergency department visit rate per 1,000 persons before vs after enrollment in a medical home for the subset of patients included in regression analysis.

    Note: Patients were included in regression analysis if they had a minimum of 3 years of outcome data both before and after enrollment. Time zero equals the year of enrollment in a medical home.

Tables

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    Table 1

    Characteristics of Adult Ontario Residents, Stratified by Medical Home Enrollment

    Characteristic20032014
    Not Enrolled
    (n = 8,091,210)
    Enrolled
    (n = 310,499)
    Not Enrolled
    (n = 555,326)
    Enrolled
    (n = 9,256,897)
    Age-group, No. (%)
     19-44 y4,187,112 (52)146,983 (47)304,326 (55)4,090,475 (44)
     45-64 y2,581,572 (32)101,953 (33)167,461 (30)3,347,207 (36)
     ≥65 y1,332,526 (16)61,563 (20)83,539 (15)1,819,215 (20)
    Female, No. (%)4,155,330 (51)168,803 (54)226,775 (41)4,853,875 (52)
    Income quintile, No. (%)
     1 (lowest)1,395,871 (18)64,124 (21)141,227 (25)1,670,126 (18)
     21,600,547 (20)69,220 (22)119,324 (21)1,780,723 (19)
     31,642,592 (20)63,961 (21)103,928 (19)1,861,775 (20)
     41,671,211 (21)58,609 (19)98,718 (18)2,007,059 (22)
     5 (highest)1,680,989 (21)54,585 (18)92,129 (17)1,937,214 (21)
    Recent resident (last 10 years), No. (%)1,126,681 (14)15,989 (5)146,927 (26)896,165 (10)
    Morbidity, RUB, No. (%)
     0 (none)822,226 (10)13,999 (5)180,111 (33)777,702 (8)
     1467,964 (6)19,333 (6)42,302 (8)488,820 (5)
     21,340,036 (17)57,211 (18)98,759 (18)156,6667 (17)
     34,049,315 (50)162,702 (52)178,267 (32)4,669,508 (50)
     41,091,023 (13)43,040 (14)41,793 (8)1,297,450 (14)
     5 (high)320,646 (4)14,214 (5)14,094 (3)456,750 (5)
    RUB, mean (SD)2.6 (1.2)2.8 (1.1)1.8 (1.5)2.7 (1.2)
    Comorbidity, ADGs
     No use822,390 (10)13,999 (5)180,244 (32)779,679 (8)
     1-4 (low comorbidity)3,361,939 (42)148,292 (48)233,860 (42)4,046,915 (44)
     5-93,139,319 (39)122,581 (39)116,027 (21)3,549,453 (38)
     ≥10 (high comorbidity)767,562 (9)25,627 (8)25,195 (5)880,850 (10)
    • RUB = resource utilization band; ADG = adjusted diagnostic group.

    • Note: Residents aged 19 years and older on March 31, 2003, and March 31, 2014.

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    Table 2

    Trends in Health Outcomes of Adult Ontarians Before and After Enrollment in a Medical Home

    OutcomeTrend, % Change per Year (95% CI)
    Before EnrollmentAfter EnrollmentaDifference
    Emergency department visit rate0.8 (0.7 to 0.9)1.5 (1.4 to 1.5)0.7 (0.6 to 0.8)
    Primary care continuity–0.8 (–0.9 to –0.8)0.4 (0.3 to 0.4)1.2 (1.2 to 1.2)
    Primary care visit rate0.6 (0.6 to 0.7)–2.2 (–2.1 to –2.3)–2.8 (–2.8 to –2.8)
    Proportion of primary care visits with A888 code4.8 (4.6 to 5.0)8.5 (8.4 to 8.6)3.5 (3.4 to 3.7)
    • Notes: Regression model included age (in 5-year categories), income quintile, comorbidity (adjusted diagnostic groups), and morbidity (resource utilization band) as time-varying covariates and sex as a stable variable. Fiscal year was included to account for secular trends. Table presents the percent change per year in the outcome based on the rate ratio after results of the original model performed on log(e) scale were taken to the exponent. Rate ratios were calculated using negative binomial regression analysis. Full model parameters on the log(e) scale are available in Supplemental Appendix 3 (http://www.annfammed.org/content/16/5/419/suppl/DC1).

    • ↵a Calculated by adding the baseline trend and the change in trend in the original parameter estimates generated using log(e) scale. Estimates presented in this table are converted, so will not add up in the same way.

Additional Files

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  • Supplemental Appendixes 1-3

    Supplemental Appendixes 1-3

    Files in this Data Supplement:

    • Supplemental data: Appendixes - PDF file
  • The Article in Brief

    Emergency Department Use and Enrollment in a Medical Home Providing After-Hours Care

    Tara Kiran , and colleagues

    Background Compared to other high-income countries, Canada and the US have among the highest rates of emergency department use and the lowest rates of primary care physicians reporting arrangements for after-hours care. This study evaluates whether enrollment in a medical home mandated to provide after-hours care in Ontario, Canada is associated with reduced emergency department use.

    What This Study Found Enrollment in a medical home mandated to provide after-hours care is associated with a small increase in emergency department visit rates. This large-scale study of all adults in Ontario enrolled in medical homes between April 1, 2005 and March 31, 2012 (n = 2,945,087) found that in the years before enrollment in a medical home, the emergency department visit rate increased by 0.8 percent per year. After medical home transition, the rate increased by 1.5 percent per year. Enrollment in a medical home was also associated with a decrease in the overall primary care visit rate but a small increase in continuity of care. The authors hypothesize that the decline in the primary care visit rate associated with medical home enrollment may help explain the counter-intuitive increase in emergency department visits. Canada's health care reforms were implemented in the context of a relatively fixed primary care workforce, and increased after-hours primary care may have been offset by a decrease in regular office hours. Another possible explanation is that introducing mandatory after-hours provision with medical homes fueled greater demand for health care.

    Implications

    • This study highlights the importance of prospectively evaluating reform efforts that aim to improve access to primary care after hours, the authors state.
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The Annals of Family Medicine: 16 (5)
The Annals of Family Medicine: 16 (5)
Vol. 16, Issue 5
September/October 2018
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Emergency Department Use and Enrollment in a Medical Home Providing After-Hours Care
Tara Kiran, Rahim Moineddin, Alexander Kopp, Eliot Frymire, Richard H. Glazier
The Annals of Family Medicine Sep 2018, 16 (5) 419-427; DOI: 10.1370/afm.2291

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Emergency Department Use and Enrollment in a Medical Home Providing After-Hours Care
Tara Kiran, Rahim Moineddin, Alexander Kopp, Eliot Frymire, Richard H. Glazier
The Annals of Family Medicine Sep 2018, 16 (5) 419-427; DOI: 10.1370/afm.2291
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Subjects

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  • Other research types:
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Keywords

  • medical home
  • after-hours care
  • emergency care
  • access to health care
  • health care utilization
  • continuity of patient care
  • health care reform
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